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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Sell the "Worry."

October 4, 2021

If one were to simply observe the daily charts for $SPY or $QQQ while listening to the teevee, one would easily conclude the sky is falling. And that would be an easy conclusion to come to.

But when we take a step back from the noise and look elsewhere, the details under the hood are suggesting a different story. And that is giving me some confidence to fade the hysteria here.

[PLUS] Weekly Market Notes & Breadth Trends

October 4, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Price volatility fueling sentiment reset. Indexes under pressure as the tide turns against their largest components. Positive breadth divergences lacking.

  • Higher rates are fueling strength in Energy and Financials - leadership from those sectors can be seen across market cap levels.
  • Our industry group heat map shows continued deterioration from large-cap groups and improvement from small-cap groups. Some 8% of large-cap groups made new 13-week highs last week vs 42% that made new 13-week lows. Among small-cap groups, it was 17% at new highs and only 13% at new lows. 

All Star Charts Crypto

Revisiting Axie

October 4, 2021

Axie Infinity is the talk of the crypto town today, and for good reason.

This thing has gone in a straight line higher and doubled from our entry when we were buying it last week.

Now, AXS is trading at a market cap of $9B putting it among one of the most valuable video game entities in the world.

For today's post, we wanted to step back and revisit why we've been so obnoxiously bullish over the last few months, and take you behind our thinking of why we've put it on the buy list six separate times in the last few months...

Here's a snippet of our first post covering Axie when we were buying it in July:

There aren’t many coins breaking out to all-time highs right now, but AXS is one of them.

We just had to break the rules with this one – it’s currently trading at a tiny market cap of $750M, so it’s $250M shy of joining our Crypto universe. So keep in mind that this one is much smaller than what we typically deal with.

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

October 4, 2021

This week we’re looking at a long setup in the Infrastructure sector. Nifty Infra continues to display strength across different time frames. One of the stocks that stands out from this sector has been featured here.

Let's take a look at this stock.

Dollars & Rates: All Eyez On Me

October 2, 2021

To quote the great philosopher Tupac Shakur, "All Eyez On Me". 

Makaveli - The Don would agree, if he were here, that the focus needs to be on the US Dollar and Interest Rates.

The implications will most likely impact every single asset class you've ever heard of.

Here's the recent US Dollar strength as it runs into former resistance and key Fibonacci retracement:

All Star Charts Premium

Saturday Morning Chartoons: Who's Ready For Q4?

October 2, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

You can find the whole list of trades here.

Below you'll find the full PDF of this week's charts:

 

 

All Star Charts Premium

Commodities Weekly: Who’s Right -- Copper or Crude?

October 1, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Energy is the clear leader in the commodity markets right now. Our equally-weighted energy index is up 13.76% over the trailing month and 6.58% in the last five days.

The emerging strength from this group is supported by a rising rate environment that could be just getting started.

So, crude oil to 100 dollars and natural gas to 9?

Maybe! But before we get ahead of ourselves, there are still plenty of mixed signals and divergences that need to be resolved.

One that stands out is the lack of confirming price action between economically sensitive commodities. Let’s take a look!

Here’s a chart of Crude Oil futures, Copper futures, and Copper Miners $COPX:

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

October 1, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Index-level volatility picked up in September and by month-end the S&P 500 has experienced its first 5% drawdown in nearly a year. Beneath the surface, we’ve been seeing increasingly widespread and substantial pullbacks since early this year. More than 50% of NASDAQ stocks are more than 20% below their highs, and more than 20% are more than 50% below their highs. These percentages have been trending higher since February and reflect a market that has churned, corrected and seen a substantial amount of air come out of it since Q1. With the indexes themselves now catching down, Q4 could be when the average stock starts to get back in gear.