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Follow The Flow (11-15-2021)

November 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow The Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients. Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades. What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.

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[Options Premium] Gap 'n Go!

November 15, 2021

A stock recently got on our radar after share prices exploded higher following a recent earnings report.

Now that the market has given players in this stock some time to marinate in the new reality presented during this last quarterly report, options premiums are beginning to return to normal (ie "low") prices. And this is making it more compelling for us to position for what we feel is another leg higher.

All Star Charts Crypto

The Bull Market Springboard

November 15, 2021

Over the last few weeks, we've been making the case that Bitcoin is likely to resolve to the upside and head toward our first target of 85,000.

In a note we published last Monday, we outlined a variety of developments taking place that's been supporting our macro bullish thesis. Since then, Bitcoin has continued to consolidate following its run-up after achieving all-time highs, and we haven't seen any dramatic price action in either direction.

So, in today's post, we'll be revisiting some of the data points we're heavily weighing towards our approach in the coming weeks.


Price Stability at a Local Maximum

In recent weeks, we've been discussing the compression of volatility in a lot of crypto assets, primarily Bitcoin.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

November 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.

Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

November 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Top 10 Charts Report was just published.

In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.

The Bond Market Has the Answers

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

November 15, 2021

This week we’re looking at a long setup in the Infrastructure sector space. Industrials and Infrastructure are showing strength and we're taking a look at one such stock today.

Gold Miners don't need Crypto Wallets

November 14, 2021

The worst investment on earth over the past 15 months could finally be starting to wake up.

Think about it, you could have literally bought anything last summer and made money. A lot of money, actually. Except precious metals.

It's been a sucker's trade for a long time.

That's one thing that's made this that much more attractive to me. The angry gold bugs have finally shut up and admitted defeat.

And historically that's precisely when things start to change:

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Buy High & Sell Higher

November 13, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

You can find the whole list of trades here.

Below you'll find the full PDF of this week's charts:

 

 

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International Hall of Famers (11-12-2021)

November 12, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 50 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more -- but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the 50 largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

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Playing a Post-Harvest Rally

November 12, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Commodities are streaking higher, providing plenty of alpha across the entire space to anyone who can pry their eyes away from their altcoin charts.

Cotton and coffee continue to rip. Crude oil and the energy space are grinding higher. Live cattle are breaking out. Even precious metals are starting to catch a bid.

But what about the grain market? Last week, we pointed out that our Minneapolis Wheat position had hit our target and that it was time to feed the ducks.

Today, we’re going to highlight a couple of grain contracts we want to keep on our radar for buying opportunities in the coming weeks and months.

Let’s dive in!

First up is the March 2022 corn contract: