I had a thought this morning while considering a few trades:
Maybe part of why I still struggle at trading sometimes is because there’s a part of me that really, really wants to follow an instruction manual to be successful.
In other areas of my life, that mindset serves me well.
I don’t know how to cook—but give me step-by-step directions, and I thrive. When we used to get HelloFresh boxes delivered, I crushed those meals. I followed the instructions, made something delicious and useful for my family, and felt like a total champ.
Following the instructions = success. I like that. I crave that.
But trading isn’t like that.
I can lay out a well-thought-out plan—how to select the trade, how to size it, how to manage it—and still lose money.
The market doesn’t care that I followed the recipe.
There’s no gold star just for executing cleanly.
And yeah, I know a successful outcome in trading is supposed to mean I followed my plan with discipline. I know.
But that doesn’t make a loss feel any better. Which leads to the uncomfortable question I’ve been sitting with:
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...
I'm traveling to Toronto with JC, Steve, and the rest of the team in September. It only makes sense that I should continue adding Canadian exposure to my portfolio.
I wouldn't want to be an impolite guest, would I?
Today's trade is in a speculative Minerals Miner from Canada.
Welcome back for another Top Down Trade of the Week.
This is a classic leadership scan.
We start with the best sectors, then drill into the subgroups. We pick one, and then take a look at the top stocks in it.
This week, Financials is the big standout—climbing five spots in our sector rankings.
While Technology holds the top spot, it’s worth highlighting Financials this week.
The consolidation in the Financial Sector SPDR $XLF is likely to resolve higher soon- just like Technology $XLK, Communications $XLC, and Industrials $XLI did this week.
These are all very different sectors, but they share one critical thing in common. These groups all represent risk appetite.
The market is on offense right now, so we’re going to keep fishing in risk-on areas.
The Nasdaq is printing all-time highs. The S&P is knocking on the door. Semiconductors, Industrials, Communications—you name it—they’re all breaking out together.
The playbook has been simple.
New highs… followed by bull flags… followed by more new highs.
This is what bull markets look like.
And right now, we’re seeing these bullish continuation patterns everywhere.
One group that we think is the next to go is Discretionary.
XLY is coiled up right at its former highs from 2021.