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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 10/14/24

October 14, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in GLD.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Crypto

📊 No Reason To Be Bearish

October 13, 2024

As I've been writing about for some time now, it appears the crypto bear market is concluding.

We're in a bull market in traditional assets and stocks are still pressing higher.

I'm still bullish looking ahead in the coming months and quarters, but neutral in the short term as Bitcoin trades sideways in anticipation of a breakout.

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Trannies Hit New Highs

October 13, 2024

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting new highs every week, the question remains: What about the Trannies?

When you study every market cycle going back over 100 years, you'll notice that the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports move together. 

They go up together for a while, and then they go down together for a while, and then up again, and the cycles repeat.

In this bull market, the Dow Industrials broke out towards the end of last year and have been making new all-time highs throughout all of 2024

But the Dow Transports have not.

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They lied to you

October 12, 2024

The worst humans on the planet have been promising you for years that this was just a "bear market rally".

They warned you every day about some made up catastrophic event that was going to occur at any moment.

But these people are not that dumb.

They were just lying to you.

Are you noticing?

Here is the S&P500 hitting new all-time highs along with the equally-weighted version of the S&P500 ALSO hitting the highest levels in history.

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Materials Stocks Are Making New Highs

October 11, 2024

It has been two-years since the S&P 500 bottomed in October 2022 and stocks began a new bull market. 

During this time, many sectors and industry groups have enjoyed tremendous uptrends while materials stocks have gone sideways.

But materials stocks are starting to look interesting...

The SPDR Materials Sector ETF $XLB is making new all-time highs:

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Buying Bonds in an Inflationary Environment

October 11, 2024

Whether markets are full of chop or trending higher, bonds offer a versatile haven for our portfolios.

Take a look at inflation-protected securities, commonly known as TIPS. 

In inflationary environments, these outperform the government bond market.

We think it’s happening now and our intermarket analysis is telling us to buy TIPS.

If you take a look at the chart of the TIP ETF against the 10-year bond ETF, you’ll see consolidation above long-term support. One thing we know about these kinds of consolidations is that they tend to follow through in the direction of the primary trend. 

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International Hall of Famers (10-11-2024)

October 11, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

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[Options Premium] Positioning for an Earnings Pop

October 11, 2024

This trade gets classified as a "Hard Trade."

The stock has had a strong runup in recent weeks. Some traders have a hard time buying stocks making highs.

I don't.

But with implied volatility relatively cheap right now in this stock, an earnings event on the horizon, and a potential "two-hundred-dollar-roll" looming ahead, this feels like the right time to take a defined risk shot.

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 10/11/24

October 11, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLI position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!