And price continues to tell us the Energy bull market still has legs.
Today's trade is a case in point where trading action today announced a declaration that an old-school oil services name wants to continue climbing higher.
Everyone knows fixed income is having one of its worst years on record. And, from the looks of it, we’ll all be dragging our Christmas trees to the curb before US Treasuries stage a miraculous comeback.
Don’t get me wrong. I believe these safe haven assets will dig in and catch higher – eventually. There’s just no sign of it happening any time soon.
Instead of focusing on the disappointing performance of bonds, let’s turn our attention to its relative trends against other major asset classes – stocks and commodities.
Here’s the commodities versus bonds ratio using the CRB Commodity Index and the 30-year Treasury bond futures:
The commodity/bond ratio completed a bearish to bullish trend reversal last year after violating a decade-long downtrend.
This major intermarket shift caught many off-guard, as 12 years of underperformance led the industry to...
The concept of “Tilt” is often discussed when things have gone awry. It’s usually associated with poor risk management and sloppy trading that has led to larger-than-expected losses.
You can no doubt find endless stories of traders in every timeframe who have gone on tilt and proceeded to wreck their month, their capital, and sometimes even their careers.
We’ve all experienced some degree of this in our own trading. It comes with the territory. It takes a rare human who possesses the mental fortitude to stay completely focused no matter what’s happening to their portfolio. Those people are out there – but they’re hard to find.
The downsides of going on tilt when our trades or strategies aren’t working out are fairly obvious.
But we rarely talk about when we go on tilt with a winning position!