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The DXY Is behind in the Count

February 1, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Everyone wants to know where the dollar is headed next.

It’s great investors are showing interest in the dollar, while understanding the impact it has on risk assets at the moment. 

But I have no idea where the dollar is headed. No one does.

Regardless, I can still form a framework to help make the best logical guess despite an incomplete data set. That’s what we do at All Star Charts!

So let’s recap three points I’ve made regarding the dollar in recent months that I believe hold the greatest weight…

The Time and Place for a Bounce

Given strong seasonal tailwinds and a critical shelf of former highs acting as potential support, the likelihood of a dollar bounce last month seemed probable…

Personality and Trading

February 1, 2023

Every investor is different.

We have different time horizons, objectives, goals, and appetites for risk.

It's for this reason that the endeavor of trading is often a lonely one; you're forced into fine-tuning what works best for your needs.

What works for me isn't going to work for you.

This is self evidently true.

It seems to me that one of the overlooked elements of this discussion is the variability of human personality.

This is something I've been pondering as of late, so I thought I'd lay bare my potential fallacious thoughts to see if we can strive closer to some answers.

[Options] The Everything Burger

February 1, 2023

[9/7: updated stop to 56]

As promised during yesterday's The FLOW show, I'm following up on a possible trade idea we discussed.

However, after Strazza and I put our heads together with the rest of the Analyst team this morning, we're going to attack an opportunity in Schlumberger $SLB from a different angle -- one that can be rewarding regardless of which direction the stock takes.

New 10-Month Highs for Small-caps

February 1, 2023

Where I come from do you know what we call higher lows and higher highs?

Uptrends.

Do you know what stocks do in bull markets?

They go up.

And speaking of going up, we just watched the Small-cap Russell2000 Index go out at new 10-month highs.

Do you know what's not evidence of a downtrend?

New 10-month highs.

Insiders Are Buying Regional Banks

February 1, 2023

The largest insider buy on today's list is a Form 4 filing by Randal Kirk, the executive chairman of Precigen $PGEN.

Kirk revealed the purchase of roughly $20 million of his own stock from him, increasing his ownership stake to 46.2%.

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[Premium] Details For February 2023 Monthly Strategy Session

February 1, 2023

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday February 6th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

The Plan IS the Plan

January 31, 2023

It’s easy to follow a trading plan when the price action is moving our way. We feel like geniuses.

Look at me! I’m so smart! The stock market is doing exactly what I planned for it to do! Let’s go car shopping!

But how do I feel if the price action goes the other way?

Assuming I’ve put a trading plan together that accounts for both the possibility of being right AND the possibility of being wrong, why should I feel any different when the price goes the wrong way?

What’s the point of putting together a detailed trading plan if I later exit the position following the first price move in the opposite direction I hoped for?

Why go through all that effort?