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New Uptrends Emerging

March 20, 2023

The most impressive behavior the past few weeks has to be in Bitcoin.

You can also see the performance of things like RIOT, COIN and other Bitcoin related stocks.

The bullish action transcends the asset class.

Take a look at the recent bid in Bitcoin as it bounces off its prior cycles highs from 2017:

Top Executives Are Buying CPRI Shares

March 20, 2023

The most significant insider activity on today’s list comes in a series of Form 4 filings by the CEO and CFO of Capri Holdings Limited $CPRI.

The two executives combined for purchases in excess of $10 million last week.

S&P500 Gains 1.4% this Week

March 18, 2023

We saw a very respectable 1.4% rally in the S&P500 this week.

But the index is still stuck below overhead supply.

Nothing has changed.

This is specifically at the index level, of course.

You see, while many sectors were doing great throughout the back half of last year, Technology and other growth areas simply were not.

This held the S&P500 back.

In 2023 we've been seeing the opposite.

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Energy Is on the Ropes

March 17, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Due to the recent bank failures, this week has been all about the financial sector and the selling pressure taking place there.

However, the price action for energy stocks has been even worse by some measures.

The Energy Sector SPDR $XLE is on pace to fall -6.8% this week, while the Financials Sector SPDR is only lower by about -5.8%.

When we look at energy futures, the outlook only worsens with crude oil registering its largest weekly loss since trading into negative territory in April 2020.

So, what does this all mean for the bull market in energy?

The sector has been so resilient, showing steady leadership for several years now. Is it all over?

Maybe not, but there is some serious damage that will require immediate repair work.

Let's take a look at it.

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International Hall of Famers (03-17-2023)

March 17, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

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Volatility Rocks the Bond Market

March 17, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Markets have been on the ropes since late last week when a Silicon Valley Bank press release sparked a run on regional banks. 

As Wall Street scrambles to reprice the financial sector -- for what, up until last week, were unforeseen risks -- selling pressure and panic is spreading to Europe and other parts of the world.

Regulators are taking action. And the Fed is taking notice as expectations for future rate hikes plummet.

While Bitcoin and tech stocks have performed exceptionally well through the volatility, cyclical stocks and commodities have been hit hard, with energy and the CRB Index breaking to new lows this week.

What are we to make of all this? Should we be concerned?

Is the regional banking crisis a contained event, or is it about to send reverberations through the broader market and economy? 

Whenever we have questions like these, the first place we want to look is the bond market. 

Any signs of stress tend to show up there first.

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[Options Premium] Utilities For Balance

March 17, 2023

We're still in premium-selling mode until the market calms down.

That said, we're not taking any wild risks. This time, we're targeting the relatively tame utility sector and defining our risks. April expiration will become the "front-month" next week, so this delta-neutral spread should pay relatively quickly if the trade works.