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Expiration Day Fireworks

April 19, 2023

Friday is April monthly options expiration day.

It used to be a big day. Back in the day (cue old person lecturing) we used to only have monthly options expirations. And because of this, the third Friday of every month tended to offer up some fireworks on the regular.

These days, daily expiring index options and weekly expiring stock options have kinda taken the starch out of the monthly happening. Boo.

Call me old fashioned (just don’t call me old!), but I still prefer to do my directional options trades – and most of my delta-neutral option spreads – in regular ol’ monthly expirations. And there seem to be plenty of traders out there like me because we still see the majority of the open interest in the monthlies.

I’m bringing this up because I’ve got some April long calls on the books that are still working for me (barely).

Where the new highs at?

April 19, 2023

In bull markets you regularly see more and more stocks making new highs.

That's just a normal characteristic of this type of market environment.

Yesterday we saw a ton of stocks making new 52-week highs - names like Nvidia, AstraZeneca, Salesforce, Lockheed Martin, General Electric, Chipotle, Autozone, Motorola, Lennar and many others.

However, in aggregate we have yet to see that key breakout in breadth expansion in the new 52-week highs list.

The new lows list is non existent. It's been that way since the 4th quarter last year.

But where the new highs at?

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Here’s What Will Confirm a DXY Breakdown

April 18, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

A weaker dollar remains a key ingredient for a risk-on rally. Yet, like interest rates, the buck refuses to roll over.

The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to hover well below last year’s peak, holding within a tight range for the past four months.

Today, we’ll review critical levels for DXY as this trendless action defines the chart.

We’ll also look beneath the surface for signs of broad strength or weakness and revisit a binding intermarket relationship for clues regarding the dollar’s next major move.

First, let’s define the critical boundaries of DXY’s multi-month range:

The 105 level has proven a significant area of resistance. 

On the flip side, the February pivot lows at approximately 101 mark the lower boundary of the year-to-date range. That’s where we find DXY today.

Cormorant Loves AMAM

April 18, 2023

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Cormorant Asset Management.

Cormorant revealed a purchase of roughly $25 million in Ambrx Biopharma $AMAM.

Investors Don't Believe Their Eyes

April 18, 2023

Thanks to everyone who joined us LIVE last night for our Mid-Month Conference Call.

Premium Members can access the video here and download all the slides.

Throughout the call we discussed how we want to continue to profit from this raging bull market in stocks.

The list of participants in this bull keeps getting longer, not shorter. We're seeing more and more stocks going up, more sectors and more countries around the world participating to the upside.