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Regime Change?

July 30, 2023

I still don't think the second half of 2023 is going to look like the first half.

A lot of things could be different.

Let's remember, in the back half of 2022 almost every stock and sector was already going up, EXCEPT for Mega-cap growth.

And then in early January, they got the rotation they were looking for, and it became Tech and Growth as the leaders of this Bull Market.

Now that we're in Month #14 of this Bull Market regime, and we've seen several cycles of rotation already, I think it's time for another one.

First of all, take a look at the Nasdaq100 $QQQ currently running into former resistance from late 2021, that preceded the failed breakout and ensuing collapse:

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[Premium] Details For August 2023 Monthly Strategy Session

July 29, 2023

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Wednesday August 2nd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Wednesday evening:

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The Hall of Famers (07-28-2023)

July 28, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

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Seven Energy Names You Need To Know

July 28, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I started at the top last week, laying out my bullish energy thesis with five charts.

Energy commodities are reclaiming critical levels. They’re outperforming their alternatives. And buyers continue to support a healthy demand for crude oil distillates.

What’s not to like?

Today, I’m drilling down to individual stocks, highlighting five trade setups I didn’t cover in last Wednesday’s What the FICC episode

And these stocks look ready to rip!

First up is oil services. I like this group of stocks because the oil services ETFs $OIH and $XES are the strongest among industry groups.

Here’s Schlumberger LTD. $SLB, the $81B behemoth:

[Options Premium] Fully Interactive

July 28, 2023

I love the base resolution underway in $IBKR and we've got a "hundred-dollar roll" lurking within spitting distance.

A break above $91 would mean fresh all-time highs and coupled with low implied volatility priced into calls options, this sets up my favorite kind of trade.

Let's get after it!

Here's the Play:

Point72 Boosts Its HCAT Stake to 5%

July 28, 2023

The only insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Robert W. Stallings, director of Texas Capital Bancshares $TCBI.

Stallings reported a purchase of TCBI shares worth $123,960.

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Investors Peg the Fed

July 27, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

FOMC meeting?

No worry, beef curry!

The markets barely flinched after the Fed raised interest rates – again. 

Honestly, I didn’t tune in to the press conference. I prefer to focus on the tape.

So you won’t get a rundown of Jerome Powell’s forward guidance, or lack thereof, from me.

I can only relay the information provided by the market.  

Obviously, the rising-rate environment remains intact amid sustained inflationary pressures – “higher for longer.”

We can all agree on that.

The true value from Wednesday’s events resides beneath the headlines…

Investors are adjusting to a new rising-rate regime as they accept the unavoidable: inflation.

The US 10-year breakeven inflation rate is shaping up as a potential “not a top” formation: