From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The indices had a dead-cat bounce yesterday afternoon, then rolled back over.

We have CPI data for July coming out at 8:30 a.m. ET.

I'll wait till after the print to see how things look. 

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is the most important chart in the world, again.

But, honestly, when is it not?

There’s no hiding from King Dollar.

It’s true: Currencies are not considered one of the three major asset classes (bonds, stocks, and commodities).

Nevertheless, fluctuations in the US dollar impact every asset worldwide – especially stocks and commodities. 

And the probability of renewed headwinds for risk assets is increasing as the failed breakdown in the dollar could have legs…

Check out the triple-pane chart of the DXY, our G-10 currency index, and the US dollar advance-decline line:

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

This morning I mentioned in the Live Trading Room that if we fill the gap on $QQQ down to 368.63 we can potentially have a bounce trade.

That's what happened, and $SPY bounced as well.

I alerted the room at 12:35 p.m. ET that both indices can rally at least a point.

I was slow on entering short trades, as the market was moving slowly.

We've got CPI tomorrow morning.

Today on the Morning Show, JC was talking about bitcoin and how if you want to underperform the next leg higher in crypto, then own bitcoin. But if you really want to get some juice for the next crypto rally, the crypto mining stocks are how to participate!

In particular, both JC and Strazza like Riot Platforms $RIOT and Marathon Digital Holdings $MARA.

And specifically, we all like what could have been a recent "oops" or fakeout-breakdown that may have just shaken out all the weak hands, clearing a path for the next move to new cycle highs:

With $MARA flirting with breaking back above $16.00 per share today and implied volatility in the options near yearly lows, it feels like high time to catch the whipsaw back to highs.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing from Steven J. McLaughlin of fintech-focused investment banking firm FT Partners.

McLaughlin revealed a purchase of $2.9 million in Expensify Inc $EXFY.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It's been slim pickings with regard to stocks to trade, as the indices are in a holding pattern.

I'm sure they'll pick a direction soon.

As we know, August is typically a bumpy month, as is September.

Over the past few weeks we've been positioning ourselves for a Regime Change.

It's not so much the end of the world that's coming, as it is just healthy, normal sector rotation.

See: If not Tech, then What?

The most important chart that helps to explain what's going on is the S&P500 and Nasdaq100.

This is what being stuck below overhead supply looks like:

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It was a tough day today, with a lot of stop-outs.

The indices are still stuck under their respective resistance zones.

I did come out ahead today by a few points, but it was a struggle.

$LLY saved trading today.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

Gilbert Gottfried would like this trade.

The famous duck on our television screens that interrupts nearly every commercial break during football season is setting us to pay us back for all those annoying "Aflac!" utterances.

New all-time highs + low volatility sets up my favorite trade.

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing from the CEO and chief business and strategic operations officer of Cerevel Therapeutics Holdings $CERE.

The two executives reported purchases for a combined amount of $2.5 million.