From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

August and September are not for the faint of heart.

After the release of the July FOMC minutes today the market headed straight down. I guess it wasn't happy about the potential for more rate hikes.

The indices have had a decent pull-in since the beginning of August. We just have to be aware of a dead-cat bounce.

As is common when the stock market is moving lower, we're seeing rising options premiums. We aren't seeing any big volatility spikes yet, and $VIX is still relatively muted, but the recent rise coupled with setups that appear to be ripe for some sideways action in the coming weeks and months has me on the hunt for delta-neutral premium selling opportunities.

Today's trade is in a metals and materials stock that appears to be stuck in a year-long range that we're betting on continuing.

Check out this chart of Freeport McMoran $FCX for a visual of what we're seeing:

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

We had a resting GTC order filled in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

When it rains, it pours.

Markets chop sideways most of the time. This has been the reality for forex markets for much of the year.

But that’s starting to change as numerous US dollar pairs reach new 10-month highs. The dollar is taking down crucial levels while the US Dollar Index $DXY retests a year-to-date downtrend line and key former highs.

The peculiar coincidence sets up some potentially critical resolutions for these USD pairs.

If they fail, the dollar rally is likely over. 

If they hold and additional USD breakouts materialize, selling pressure will intensify for many risk assets.

As of today, quite a few forex pairs are on the verge of supporting a sustained US dollar rally…

Let’s start with the second largest component of the DXY (13.6%), the US dollar-Japanese yen:

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filed by Boxer Capital LLC.

The investment fund reported a purchase of roughly $35 million in Mirati Therapeutics $MRTX.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

$SPY finally closed its gap down to 442.97.

There are lots of gaps below, but I was looking for this nearby gap to get filled.

Today we have the minutes from the July FOMC meeting.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The market pretty much drifted lower all day.

It erased yesterday's bounce, and $SPY closed to its respective gap below.

Is now the time to get long equities?

If you kept up with the headlines and what the sell side analysts have to say, you'd think it would be.

Fortunately we try to stay ahead of the curve around here.

Yesterday we discussed the recent sentiment shift among permabears, wall street analysts, hedge funds and financial media.

You can read that again here.

To add to that sentiment shift, here is the our internal sentiment composite which includes data from Individual Investors, Advisories, Active Investment Managers, Volatility and the Options Market.

As you can see last year saw some of the most pessimistic levels in history, giving us one of the greatest buying opportunities we've ever seen.

Today, Sentiment is at the opposite extreme:

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filed by Michael Andrew Chambers, director of Sarepta Therapeutics $SRPT.

Chambers reported an additional purchase of 23,686 SRPT shares, equivalent to $2.5 million.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The indices ran right to resistance yesterday only to get slammed overnight.

It's a little bit of a tug of war right here between the bulls and the bears.