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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Patiently Betting on a Turn Abroad

February 28, 2024

Here's something we don't do very often -- we're going to patiently leg into a position.

Bottoms are a process, and we're taking a position that is betting on a turn on a much-maligned overseas market.

We think the turn can be messy and sloppy sideways for a little longer, which will allow us to get better prices if we go into it with a plan.

 

Dancing on the Fine Line

February 28, 2024

What if I’m wrong?

I get ideas. Sometimes crazy ones.

I see something in the charts, or read something in the news, or listen to something on spaces and it triggers me into taking action.

Sometimes I’ll take aggressive actions because this idea I have – wherever it came from – is something I feel strongly about. I feel that the odds are heavily stacked in my favor. Or perhaps the payoff, if I’m right, can be so overwhelmingly profitable that it’s impossible to ignore.

We all have these feels about certain trades we’re in from time to time, right?

We get excited. We get optimistic. We start counting our winnings before they’ve even hit our account. It becomes impossible not to daydream.

There’s nothing wrong with any of this.

But what if I’m wrong?

CEO Grace Reports a Million-Dollar AMN Purchase

February 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Cary Grace, president and CEO of AMN Healthcare Services $AMN.

Grace reported a purchase of almost $1 million in AMN shares.

Do or Die Time

February 28, 2024

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

When assessing the overall market, we are always asking a lot of the same questions. One of the more common ones is, "how are the laggards doing?"

Many times, these will be the culprits of the last bear market. Other times, they are former leaders that have lost their way.

For a healthy and sustainable bull cycle to take place, we eventually need these laggards to participate.

For the 2021 and 2022 bear, speculative growth was the poster child. 

We’re talking about biotech, the ARK funds, the IPO index, online retailers, etc. These groups were absolutely decimated. 

Not only did they experience some of the worst bear market drawdowns, but in 2023, when new leaders emerged, and many areas of the market began to move higher, these laggards continued to struggle.

Fast forward to today, and these groups are still repairing the technical damage from the prior cycle. With that said, the seeds have been planted for some epic bearish-to-bullish trend reversals.

We think these transitions...

There Are No New Lows

February 28, 2024

A lot of the major US Stock Market indexes have been having a hard time making much progress this month.

That makes sense to me because there are simply fewer and fewer stocks that are going up in price.

It's a market of stocks, after all right?

The way I learned it was, "Don't fight Papa Dow".

As you can see below, Dow Futures are at the same levels they were on February 2nd. We start March this Friday.

Also, you can see momentum continue to roll over very aggressively, particularly as any new highs in the indexes failed to hold:

All Star Charts Crypto

Morning Crypto Clarity: February 28, 2024

February 28, 2024

 

Good morning,

Welcome to your daily crypto clarity

 

 

 

WHAT’S HAPPENING

Crypto assets continue their relentless bid, with Bitcoin just a stone's throw away from all-time highs. Ethereum is gone up in a straight line, and is trading right beneath a long-term zone of supply near 3,500.

 

KEY STORIES

Fidelity Canada Recommend 1-3% of Crypto Allocation in Portfolios - The Defiant

Eyeing Coinbase's bitcoin custody dominance, Kraken launches institutional service -...

All Star Charts Crypto

A Brewing Catch-Up Trade

February 28, 2024

Crypto markets continue to rally higher, lead by Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin finds itself a mere stone's throw away from its all-time highs, while Ethereum trades beneath a key level of resistance. With the risk vs reward tilting out of favor from the two largest crypto assets, it begs the question where well-defined opportunities lie in the crypto complex.

Pelosi Reports PANW Call Options Purchases

February 27, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The biggest item on today’s list is a filing by Rep. Nancy Pelosi.

The former Speaker of the House bought call options in Palo Alto Networks $PANW worth between $600,000 and $1,250,000.

Apple Breaks To New 3-month Lows

February 27, 2024

Remember when Apple was the most important company in the world?

Wasn't that like just a few months ago?

How convenient that it is no longer relevant, now that the stock goes down in price every day.

Apple closed yesterday at the lowest levels since early November...