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No One Wants To Buy Bonds

November 10, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What a wild broad-market reversal yesterday!

Powell supposedly stated the obvious or blurted out what was on everyone’s mind. I don’t know. I haven’t watched the video or reviewed yesterday’s treasury auction. 

And I won’t.

I’m more interested in the “what,” not the “why,” as the former has proven far more valuable for navigating markets.

Nevertheless, the message is clear: no one wants to buy bonds

It makes sense to me…

Check out 30-year T-Bond futures:

Long-duration bonds are in a clear downtrend, stair-stepping lower.

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[Options Premium] The Other Side of the Coin

November 10, 2023

[12/4/23: updated stop to 100]

Crypto is showing signs of a resurgence. With Bitcoin trading north of $35,000 this week, many of the old bulls are coming out of the woodwork calling for the next crypto run.

Well, if the next run is soon at hand, today's trade is in a company that is certainly positioned to benefit from any uptick in sh*t coin trading volumes.

 

SOFI's CEO and CFO Report Insider Buys

November 10, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s most significant insider transactions are Form 4 filings by both the CEO and the CFO of SoFi Technologies $SOFI.

Together the two executives bought SOFI shares worth a total of $398,260.

Breaking the Mold of Home Country Bias

November 9, 2023

From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

For the longest time, investors in the United States have been rewarded for their home country bias and their overexposure to large-caps and growth stocks.

The secular trend of underperformance from international equities relative to the United States commenced over 15 years ago. Many investors have simply never seen stocks outside the US outperform over any material timeframe.

It's not a matter of impossibility; rather, our recency bias tends to mistake unfamiliarity for the extraordinary.

A regime of sustained value outperformance isn't isolated to the realm of fantasy. It was only last year that holding growth over value was nothing short of opportunity cost, while international equities outpaced their US counterparts through Q4 and into the new year.

Recently, Meb Faber joined us on the morning show, where he discussed the topic of international investing. He argued that this is the best time in history to make the value trade, both domestically and internationally.

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Junior Hall of Famers (11-09-2023)

November 9, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to our latest project, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if the price is rising. That's good enough for us.

All Star Charts Premium, 2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (11-09-2023)

November 9, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/9/23

November 9, 2023

[If you missed my note about change and new features to P2P, please review it here.]

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

  1. Any new position added today
  2. Any exits since last report.
  3. Adjustment made to an existing position (if any)
  4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!



[Options P2P] GREAT NEW CHANGES for Options Paid-to-Play Subscribers.

November 9, 2023

In the 16 months since we launched the All Star Charts Paid-to-Play options service, subscribers have enjoyed positive risk-adjusted returns with far less volatility and smaller drawdowns than a simple investment in the S&P 500. They've also learned how to execute our strategies to produce incredible outperformance versus comparable ETF benchmarks that seek to sell options premium.

But one thing we can all agree on is that we wish it could be simpler.

In an effort to simplify your trading lives, we'll begin presenting our daily trades and open positions in an easier format!

Instead of receiving numerous emails throughout the day alerting you to actions in the portfolio and producing repetitive videos that few of you are watching (we have the viewership data!), we're going to send you ONE DAILY DIGEST that packs far more punch.

Each daily digest will include:

XOM, ET Insiders Report Big Buys

November 9, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by Exxon Mobil Corporation $XOM director and ValueAct Capital founder Jeff Ubben.

Ubben reported an XOM purchase worth $26 million, bringing his total share count to 2,077,000.

Buying Tech in a Tech Led Bull Market

November 9, 2023

Relative strength can be really powerful because stocks often tip their hand before making their big moves.

When the overall market is under pressure and a stock is making new 52-week highs, something is usually going on.

We're seeing it in Uber, which we just bought yesterday.

UBER is making new 52-week highs and is currently valued at over $100 Billion. Meanwhile, people keep telling me stocks are in a bear market.

Those people must be looking at LYFT instead...

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The Dollar Retains Command

November 8, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is still dealing like an old-school ace on the mound.

I don’t care what stock market bulls or technology investors want to believe.

The buck has been lights out since July.

And just because it found itself in a bit of trouble last week doesn’t mean it can’t retire the side…

The index pulled back to a key retracement level at approximately 105 on Friday:

Unsurprisingly, the dollar bore down at this critical area as it coincides with a logical support zone. 

But, when we take a closer look… 

Sellers are digging in, seeing the spin on the ball, with runners in scoring position.

Check out last week’s breakdown: