Remember when they told you Black Monday was coming?

Remember how the yield curve was the greatest indicator of recessions and bear markets ever?

How about that time they told you a war was a bad thing for stocks?

The best one was how they told you that market breadth was weak. "It's only 7 stocks, JC", lol.

None of the people telling you these things actually took the time to count how many stocks were going up.

If they had, then they wouldn't have to tell you fairytales about recessions and credit events.

As it turns out, November was one of the greatest months in stock market history:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let's dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

Click table to enlarge view

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New position in IWM.
2. No Defensive adjustments today.
3. Profitable exit in USO.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by the CEO and president of Arbor Realty Trust Inc $ABR, Ivan Kaufman.

Kaufman reported an ABR purchase worth $479,900.

Now's the time.

If you don't have exposure to cryptocurrency in one shape or another in your portfolio, you're missing out. But, it's not too late. In fact, we think this is the perfect time to get aggressive.

With Bitcoin above 30,000, this needs to be an area we're pressing our bets on. When this asset class gets going, nothing can stop it. And now, with all these coins successfully resolving higher out of long-term reversal patterns, we're of the stern view that now is the time to get involved.

Expect to see a lot of trade ideas out of this space in the coming months...

One such name we discussed at length in the previous cycle was Helium $HNT. In fact, as a fun experiment, the team all tried their hands at Helium mining. But as the tide turned in 2022, Helium was one of the worst-hit names in the entire asset class, falling into a whopping 98% drawdown.

Strazza will gladly tell you he has helium miners all over the Florida Keys that he no longer pays attention to. That's the right kind of sentiment we want to see at the back of a primary trend reversal.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

During our Analyst meeting this morning, the idea I brought to the table was a long bet in Cloudflare $NET.

I like that it's just starting to break above a level of resistance that has been in place for the better part of two years.

My initial thought was to make a short-term tactical bet on a run to $100, but then I noticed that in the June options expiration series, the highest strike available is $110. Clearly the CBOE doesn't read All Star Charts research and our belief that this stock could touch $130 per share over the next 3-6 months!

Check out this chart of $NET and you'll see a move to $130 doesn't seem that outlandish at all:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Fiat money worldwide is sidelining the dollar.

Emerging market currencies were the first to strike. Now, their developed market counterparts have joined the fray.

The result: Global equities and precious metals are catching a bid.

After a challenging second half, perhaps the year's final weeks will be a layup for stock and forex traders.

And with the Australian and New Zealand dollars completing tactical reversals against the USD, the Canadian dollar could be next…

Check out Canadian dollar futures bouncing off support:

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. No new position was added today.
2. Defensive adjustment in GDX.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in Form 4 filings by the executive chairman and CEO of Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc $SPB, David Maura.

Maura reported a purchase of SPB shares worth $2.6 million.

“If people weren’t wrong so often, we wouldn’t be so rich” - Charles Thomas Munger

R.I.P. Legend.

Charlie, of course known for his fundamental analysis alongside Warren Buffett all these years, was a closet Technician at heart.

His analysis of human behavior was top notch, particularly misbehavior and stupid behavior.

His comment to Warren about the reason they were so rich was because people are so often wrong, was spot on.

If you've been paying attention, we use this to our advantage quite a bit.

For example, twelve months ago Wall Street strategists forecasted an outright fall for stocks in 2023, the first time this century that they had predicted a loss...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Last Week, we held our November Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.

In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.

Let’s get right into it!