Bitcoin has erased its post-ETF losses, with prices hitting 48,000.
The greatest percentage of cryptocurrencies made new highs since the short-term market top in December last year.
Bitcoin spot ETFs have surpassed 200,000 BTC in AUM within their first month of trading.
FEATURED CHART
Here is a daily price chart of Bitcoin making 52-week closing highs. A number of data points pointed to a reset in the consensus bullish positioning and sentiment that had become dominant over the recent months. Now, it appears the 40,000s have become a new floor in this bull market.
In last week’s letter, we argued that a once-crowded bullish sentiment had cooled down in a bull market reset. We also put forward the case that crypto markets were at an inflection point between capitulation or reacceleration. Over the last week, we’ve seen Bitcoin sharply rally to the high 40,000s, indicating that this period of consolidation is ending with an upward resolution.
As we exit the best three-month period for the stock market, we're looking to our risk appetite indicators to help us determine the next directional move.
The charts below are all excellent tools for helping identify what kind of environment we are in.
During bull markets, investors embrace risk. In bear markets, they reduce their risk.
Understanding and analyzing the balance between defensive and offensive assets helps keep us on the right side of the trend.
Breaking News: "Dow Futures fell 100 points and the VIX rose this Friday on news of new all-time highs for the stock market"
The breadth continues to deteriorate with every week that goes by.
You notice?
You can see it in our trades as well. While the puts on our $SPY and $QQQ haven't started to work yet, the bearish trades on individual stocks are all either working or flat.
It's interesting. What you see in happening in the portfolio, you can also see happening in the market itself.
We saw new all-time highs this week for the S&P500. But we had the fewest stocks in the S&P500 above their 200 day moving average since December. And the fewest above their 50 day moving average since November.
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.