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Under the Hood (03-04-2024)

March 4, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended March 1, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

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Gold Futures Take Aim at All-Time Highs

March 4, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

You can’t keep the gold bugs down.

They’re a hearty bunch full of true grit, choosing to focus on the silver lining while persevering through countless downturns.

Gold, on the other hand, has been an easy target…

[Options] Looking For an Energetic Breakout

March 4, 2024

This morning, my Head Technical Analyst Steve Strazza joined me on The Flow Show to put our heads together on a new trade:

Strazza loves the Energy sector here, and of all the charts he likes, I liked this one in Valero Energy $VLO the best:

Best of all, options premiums are near the lowest levels of the year for $VLO:

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Gold Futures Take Aim at All-Time Highs

March 4, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

You can’t keep the gold bugs down.

They’re a hearty bunch full of true grit, choosing to focus on the silver lining while persevering through countless downturns.

Gold, on the other hand, has been an easy target…

Every time buyers have managed to drive the price back to the 2,089 level… 

Rejected! 

Sellers have stepped in, capping price while breaking the hearts of gold bugs everywhere. 

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Targets Hit, Now What?

March 4, 2024

Bulls remain in full control of the crypto tape, with Bitcoin retesting all-time highs. But as journalists talk of all-time highs, we're remaining mindful that this is a logical place for Bitcoin to consolidate its gains. The question that remains is how Bitcoin resolves from this significant level of supply, and looking further, how rotation impacts the speculative end.

It's Still A Bull Market

March 3, 2024

Not sure if you got the memo, but this is still a Bull Market in stocks.

That hasn't changed.

Just to be clear.

And this, I think, is where defining who you are and your time horizon is really important.

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Interest Rates Run Out of Gas

March 1, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

US Treasuries are taking a back seat to risk assets.

Bond market volatility is declining. Credit spreads are tightening. And Emerging Market high-yield bonds ($EMHY) are breaking out. 

Meanwhile, stocks are posting new all-time highs.

So, how high will interest rates climb over the near term?

My gut tells me not far — at least not in the coming weeks or months…

Check out the US benchmark rate finding resistance at approximately 4.33:

Last month’s high marks a logical ceiling for the US benchmark rate.