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The Short Report (03-06-2024)

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

With our Short Report scan, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

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[Options Premium] If It's Gonna Go, It's GONNA GO.

March 6, 2024

Today's trade is in a name that has the potential to really rip. Of course, the nature of this type of trade is that it has a lower probability of success.

But if we get it right, our potential gains will likely be exponentially higher than any heat we're likely to take in this trade if we're early or wrong.

So let's get right to it.

I used to be a Gold Bug

March 6, 2024

Fun fact, did you know I used to be a Gold Bug?

That's right.

In the early years of my career, being a Gold Bug was actually cool.

Throughout the 2000s, not only were Gold prices going up, they were also outperforming stocks and bonds, by a lot.

I was that guy.

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Opportunities Amidst Bitcoin Hitting Targets

March 6, 2024

Bitcoin has hit our primary long-term target of the former all time highs near the upper 60,000s. So what now? Does the entire asset class cool-off? Or does money rotate from the extended names down into the assets only beginning to participate?

To Quit or Not to Quit

March 5, 2024

I’m reading Annie Duke’s latest book “Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away.” Though I’m only about halfway through it I can already confidently recommend this book to traders.

The book isn’t addressed to traders, though it frequently references our profession in its anecdotes and many of the stories are very relatable.

And it certainly has me thinking about better ways to decide to quit a trade, quit a strategy, or quit a product.

I frequently go down rabbit holes, experimenting with models to extract consistent, repeatable, acceptably risk-adjusted returns via index options. I’ve written about my near-constant obsession with this project numerous times. It continues.

As a trader, it's always good to be working on some kind of “side hustle.” In our cases, this is more likely to look like building a new strategy, fine-tuning a scanning method, or constructing a money management scheme that can propel us into becoming more profitable traders.

Gold Hits All-time Highs

March 5, 2024

The stock market is near new all-time highs and getting all the attention.

Crypto Currencies are breaking out and everyone is all hyped up for another Defi Summer.

Meanwhile, Gold is quietly hitting new all-time highs.

Never in history has Gold closed at a higher price than it did yesterday:

Banks Keep Breaking Down

March 5, 2024

Banks don't stop falling.

About a year ago, we saw a few tiny banks that no one has ever heard of disappear, and the market moved on just fine.

Is this time going to be like that?

Look at Regional Banks breaking down vs both Large-caps and Small-caps.

So, no matter what you compare them to, Regional Banks look terrible:

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A Deep Dive on Industrials

March 5, 2024

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

In today's post, we're talking about a group of stocks that have emerged as the 'Generals' of the current bull market.

You are thinking, “it must be tech.”

It’s not.

Industrials have been just as strong as tech stocks but with far better internals. No other sector has experienced the kind of broad participation we’re seeing from industrials. These are the real market leaders.

Historically, the Industrial sector is the one with the highest correlation to the overall market. So, the strength of these stocks is also sending us very bullish information about the health of this bull market. 

This is great news, but today’s note is about looking under the hood and finding the best opportunities in the various industrial subgroups.

As one of the most diverse sectors, investors have plenty of options in the world of industrials. We did the work and dug into this space to find out what the strongest areas are and where we want to put our money.

Let’s get into it.

Here’s the Large-Cap Industrial Sector $XLI breaking out of a multi-year base: