Today's trade is in a name that has the potential to really rip. Of course, the nature of this type of trade is that it has a lower probability of success.
But if we get it right, our potential gains will likely be exponentially higher than any heat we're likely to take in this trade if we're early or wrong.
Bitcoin has hit our primary long-term target of the former all time highs near the upper 60,000s. So what now? Does the entire asset class cool-off? Or does money rotate from the extended names down into the assets only beginning to participate?
The book isn’t addressed to traders, though it frequently references our profession in its anecdotes and many of the stories are very relatable.
And it certainly has me thinking about better ways to decide to quit a trade, quit a strategy, or quit a product.
I frequently go down rabbit holes, experimenting with models to extract consistent, repeatable, acceptably risk-adjusted returns via index options. I’ve written about my near-constant obsession with this project numerous times. It continues.
As a trader, it's always good to be working on some kind of “side hustle.” In our cases, this is more likely to look like building a new strategy, fine-tuning a scanning method, or constructing a money management scheme that can propel us into becoming more profitable traders.
In today's post, we're talking about a group of stocks that have emerged as the 'Generals' of the current bull market.
You are thinking, “it must be tech.”
It’s not.
Industrials have been just as strong as tech stocks but with far better internals. No other sector has experienced the kind of broad participation we’re seeing from industrials. These are the real market leaders.
Historically, the Industrial sector is the one with the highest correlation to the overall market. So, the strength of these stocks is also sending us very bullish information about the health of this bull market.
This is great news, but today’s note is about looking under the hood and finding the best opportunities in the various industrial subgroups.
As one of the most diverse sectors, investors have plenty of options in the world of industrials. We did the work and dug into this space to find out what the strongest areas are and where we want to put our money.
Let’s get into it.
Here’s the Large-Cap Industrial Sector $XLI breaking out of a multi-year base: