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What’s Up With Franco-Nevada?

January 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US dollar is marching higher, stomping gold mining stocks into dust.

Harmony $HMY, Kinross $KGC, and Eldorado Gold $EGO are hovering just above last month's breakout levels.

And Franco Nevada $FNV –  a secular leader among royalty companies – is sliding toward fresh multi-year lows!

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What’s Up With Franco-Nevada?

January 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US dollar is marching higher, stomping gold mining stocks into dust.

Harmony $HMY, Kinross $KGC, and Eldorado Gold $EGO are hovering just above last month’s breakout levels.

And Franco Nevada $FNV –  a secular leader among royalty companies – is sliding toward fresh multi-year lows!

Check out FNV undercutting a shelf of former lows:

I’m not crazy about shorting it. But you can’t own FNV below its 2022 lows at approximately 110.

3 Reasons to Be Bearish Stocks

January 16, 2024

Coming into 2024, we already had a nice list of things that needed to happen to approach the market from a much more defensive perspective.

Let's remember that throughout the 4th quarter we were going out of our way to be more aggressive than even we were accustomed to.

It was a different environment.

And while we did not know what 2024 would bring, we still don't, at least we came in with a good list of developments that would likely be occurring before a more severe correction was underway.

Remember, the new highs list peaked on December 14th. So that means we're over a month into a market correction that you can only see taking place underneath the surface if you bother to look.

Here's how each of the sectors have performed during this correction:

Insiders Are Buying TLRY Shares

January 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in the form of filings by the CEO, the CFO, and the global general counsel of Tilray Brands Inc $TLRY.

Each filed Form 4s revealing combined purchases of TLRY shares in the total amount of $148,454.

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Buyers Beware: Cocoa’s Epic Rally Falters

January 12, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Danger Will Robinson, Danger!

Cocoa futures have violated a parabolic trendline. 

And it may not be safe for bulls to hold their long positions…

Cocoa fell -2.50% on Monday, cementing last week’s trendline break.

Commodity markets tend to experience steep selloffs following dramatic rallies. Escalator up, elevator down.  

But buyers are refusing to throw in the towel here. In fact, Monday’s potential top is yielding a fresh 46-year high today – not bearish.

I will not short those new highs. Nevertheless, I want to prepare for Cocoa’s eventual decline.

Check out the March contract:

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The Hall of Famers (01-12-2024)

January 12, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

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[Options Premium] Adding a Little Short Exposure

January 12, 2024

Don't let today's headline scare you. I'm still bullish overall.

But with the S&P500 still bumping its head against overhead resistance, it wouldn't hurt to provide a little ballast for a mostly long portfolio here.

So with this in mind, I'm putting on a bearish trade in a stock that has not been participating in this bull market, and will likely continue to push lower as long as the broader indexes keep struggling here.