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High Beta hits 20-week High vs Low Volatility

December 10, 2024

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Rotation Rotation Rotation

You can see all the sector rotation happening underneath the surface.

Yesterday we discussed the turn potentially happening already in Technology stocks. You can check out that note here.

And last week was our LIVE Monthly Charts Strategy Session. You can click here to learn how to access the video replay, download the 170 charts and review each of the new trade ideas. 

But here is the latest example of this rotation. The ratio between High Beta stocks and Low Volatility just hit new 20-week highs yesterday:

When stocks are in a healthy environment, you tend to see High Beta stocks outperforming their Low Volatility counterparts. It's in the weaker environments where High Beta historically underperforms.

Look at this chart above. Consumer Discretionary had been underperforming for a long time, until recently. Consumer Discretionary is the 2nd largest component of the High Beta Index, coming in at 14%, compared to the just 6% weighting in the Low Volatility Index.

Meanwhile, Technology is by far the largest component in the High Beta Index, with a 52% weighting. Notice how Tech only has an 8% weighting in the Low Volatility Index.

These two "Risk-On" sectors have been underperforming. So you can see how the High Beta / Low Volatility Ratio hasn't even broken out above its prior cycle's highs.

But it just closed at new 20-week highs yesterday. That's a good start.

Sector Rotation Is The Lifeblood of a Bull Market. You're seeing it.

If you're looking for a catalyst to take this bull market deep into 2025, then look no further than this rotation into High Beta stocks.

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See you in there!

JC

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