Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday of the year. It's not even close.
So from the bottom of my heart, THANK YOU for all of your support over the years. You have no idea how much you mean to me and how appreciative we are for all the emails, comments, feedback and love that you gave us throughout 2024 and all of the years before that.
Seriously. Thank you.
Thanksgiving to me means Family, Friends, Football, Red Burgundy and Good Eats.
I know there are a few unfortunate souls out there who don't like Turkey. So if you're one of those, I can tell you for a fact, that it's only because you haven't had my Turkey yet!
You're invited next year.
I love Thanksgiving so much that we celebrate it at least one or two more times throughout the year, once in the Spring and probably one more time in early September.
Don't come at me with "Turkey isn't good". Maybe your turkey might not be great, but for the rest of us who know how to prepare it properly, there are few meals throughout the year that are as good as this one!
Facts only.
And so speaking of facts, the thing that I am most grateful this year, from an investor's perspective, is data.
Without data, we would just be another one of these shmucks watching people lie to you every day on basic cable.
The data suggests that the Pre-Election years and Election years are the best times to own stocks during the 4-year cycle.
"You buy the Mid-term Elections", is what the data suggests. And if you bought stocks in October/November of 2022, you've participated in one of the greatest runs for the stock market in American History.
Now, here's where things get tricky and the data helps us even more.
Historically, the Post-Election year and into the Mid-term year, stocks don't do as well as the last 2 years of the cycle.
The theory is that new Presidents want to get all the bad stuff out of the way early on in their terms, so that throughout the back half of their 4-year term, they can do what they can to please their constituents going into a new election. Hence, why the first 2 years are historically way worse than the final 2.
But that's started to change over the past few decades.
Here's a chart of every single Post-Election year going back to 1950 (in blue), but only the last 5 Post-Election Years, and last 10 (in Black and Gray respectively).
Look at the difference:
Over the recent decades, new Presidents are having a harder time getting anything done in their first year, so they have trouble pissing people off, like Presidents before them have been able to do more consistently.
Post-Election years are actually not that bad any more, and in fact, they keep getting better.
This is the situation we're heading into now as we finish Year 4 of the Presidential Cycle, and enter into Year 1 of a new term.
The market is pumped for a Donald Trump presidency, as we've seen from the price action.
And last time that Trump won a Presidential Election, the U.S. stock market went on to have one of the greatest and least volatile years in American History (2017).
All 3 of these are derived from the research being done over at Allstarcharts.com, but these trades are specifically designed to "Multiply" the profits for these "Breakouts", looking to maximize returns very specifically over the next 2-6 weeks.
That's how the strategy works in this proprietary Breakout Multiplier System.
On Tuesday night, Steve Strazza and I walked through the 3 step process of how this strategy is implemented, using real time examples of trades that have been put on in recent months, as well as some newer ideas that are still in play.