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[Weekly Gold Rush] Has This Ratio Bottomed?

November 25, 2024

*BREAKING NEWS* $BTC printing fresh all-time highs priced in every fiat currency is NOT bearish for gold.

We recently recorded a video with our in-house crypto analyst, Louis Sykes, to discuss the connections between bitcoin and gold

The relationship isn't perfect, but it would be irresponsible of us as investors to ignore the correlation between 2 of the most significant hard-money assets in the world.

Last month, we discussed the correlation between digital and physical gold becoming positive again. 

Before we knew it, $BTC had resolved its base and followed gold to new all-time highs.

This suggests to us the bull market is still young:

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Bitcoin vs. Gold: Their Love Hate Relationship

November 25, 2024

Bitcoin and Gold, they’ve got some things in common, but let’s not kid ourselves. 

The differences are just as striking as the similarities. Sometimes they move together, other times they couldn’t be further apart. It’s a love-hate relationship, and it’s fascinating to watch.

In this video, we dive into these correlations, when Bitcoin, Gold, and even Bonds align, and when they decide to part ways. 

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(Commodities Weekly) Energy Is Coming Out of Hibernation

November 22, 2024

Last week, we identified a bullish momentum divergence in the commodities versus stocks ratio at a shelf of former lows.

The evidence suggests we're on the verge of a new era of commodity outperformance.

If we're right, it's time to prepare a list of our favorite setups to seize this opportunity.

We've already covered promising setups in uranium and solar.

Now, let's focus on oil and gas, and here's why:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] The Golden Gambit

November 18, 2024

Gold futures have been down in 6 out of the last 8 sessions since the winner of the U.S. Presidential Election was announced.

The US Dollar Index $DXY has been adding fuel to the selling pressure as it has screamed higher toward the upper bound of a multi-year range.

However, the dollar is entering one of its weakest seasonal periods of the year and should start serving as a tailwind for our shiny rocks.

And if the dollar is about to roll over, our equal-weight basket of precious metal stocks will likely resolve its multi-decade base and make new all-time highs:

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(Commodities Weekly) Have You Seen This Divergence?

November 15, 2024

In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn there are 3 asset classes: stocks, bonds, AND commodities.

Without all 3, you're missing a piece of the puzzle and are putting yourself at a disadvantage.

Since commodities peaked in absolute and relative terms in 2022, they have dramatically underperformed stocks.

It's gotten to the extent where there's not any momentum to the downside remaining.

Commodities have carved out a massive bullish momentum divergence relative to stocks since the start of 2024:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Gold Bugs Take Cover

November 11, 2024

We recently discussed gold achieving its second target since it put the finishing touches on a massive base earlier this year.

It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.

But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.

Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:

 

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Catching Ultraviolet Rays

November 8, 2024

We recently discussed the extreme demand for uranium stocks as the AI boom progresses.

But what about the other alternative energy equities?

Solar stocks have been amongst the most hated in the entire market, right up there with pot stocks and China.

The Invesco Solar ETF $TAN looks ready to explode higher:

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[Bonus Gold Rush] Is This A Bubble?

November 6, 2024

We all know it has been a bull market, but how sustainable is it?

In today's Gold Rush video, we addressed the elephant in the room. Is this a bubble?

Additionally, we revisited some of the greatest bubbles of all-time and tied it back to the current environment.

One of our favorite historic bubble examples is silver in the late 1970s:

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[Weekly Gold Rush] Another Price Target Achieved

November 4, 2024

It was only 8-months ago when gold futures put the finishing touches on a massive basing pattern. 

Since then, we've seen the yellow rock rally over 30% to new all-time highs and achieve two of our price targets. 

In addition, the bellwethers of the industry like Wheaton Precious Metals have moved into blue-sky territory and the junior miners have posted bullish momentum thrusts.

And we're betting on participation continuing to expand for precious metals stocks and futures contracts like palladium.

Let's talk about it:

 

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This Home Is Built on Solid Ground

November 1, 2024

November marks the beginning of the best three-month period of the year for stocks and a brand-new NBA season. Moreover, the sportsbooks have priced in my local OKC Thunder as the Western Conference champions.

It's a fantastic time to be alive.

Now is also a great time to take a step back and assess the underlying trends.

Earlier this year, we outlined our Fab 5 Charts for a 2024 equity bull market. 

One of the five key groups we selected was homebuilders, which have been on an absolute tear:

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Gold is Dominating Every Currency

October 28, 2024

Despite bond yields and dollars screaming higher and reaching overbought conditions, stocks and precious metals rallied during what is historically the worst time of the year. 

During a bad seasonal period, junior gold and silver mining stocks had their best week since 2020, and silver printed fresh multi-year highs.

The bulls' ability to maintain control during a historically weak period speaks to the strength and resilience of this market.

Let's talk about the demand we're seeing for precious metals around the world and a few of our favorite trade ideas right now:

 

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Trick or Treat?

October 25, 2024

Each year, Americans buy over 600 million pounds of candy and eat over 1 pound each for Halloween.

It's a lot...

But are there opportunities to profit from Americans ritualistically eating way too much candy? You betcha!

Let's talk about it.

After a historic 190% run earlier this year, cocoa futures have formed a textbook consolidation pattern: