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Squeeze Potential In Reliance Infrastructure

February 19, 2020

Despite our cautious outlook for Equities, there's one stock setting up for a potential short squeeze...and the skewed reward/risk has gotten our attention.

Let's take a look.

First, we'd suggest reviewing our "short squeeze" playbook which outlines the characteristics we look for in mean reversion/short squeeze setups.

Today we're looking at Reliance Infrastructure, which has been one of the worst stocks on the planet for a long time...but now prices are beginning to stabilize as momentum diverges positively. From our perspective, it's finally worth a shot on the long side if prices are above 18.00. To be clear, below that level we want nothing to do with it.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

When a stock is this stretched to the downside and begins to show signs of bottoming, the reward/risk is so skewed in our favor that it's worth accepting a lower-probability trade setup. Most of them don't work, but the ones that do more than pay for the losers.

In this case, Reliance Infrastructure is a long if above 18, with targets near 40, 67, and 97 depending on your timeframe.

This is the type of situation where we put ourselves in a position to get lucky. Take the entry while it has minimal risk and see how it develops. Worst case we get stopped out and take a small loss. Best case, this turns into a 10 bagger. Most likely, it'll end up somewhere in the middle.

Guess we'll find out soon.

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Thanks for reading and let us know if you have any questions!

Allstarcharts Team

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