Is Apple Stock About To Crash?
- Posted by JC Parets
- on September 10th, 2012
I’m serious. Does it make you angry to read that? Do you feel like you’re doing something wrong going short America’s favorite stock? Is it a bad thing to wish awful things upon a company who provides us with such glorious technology?
Fortunately as market participants, we don’t have to care about any of these things. And yes, we are getting signals that $AAPL might be about to get clobbered. Check it out:
First of all, look at the daily and weekly charts of $AAPL making higher highs in price, but lower highs in Momentum:
Now take a look at how $AAPL is trading vs the S&P500. More scary looking divergences:
So based on these charts, we know there’s no way in hell that we would buy the stock here. So do we short the biggest and most awesome company in the world? It’s not a bad risk/reward with a stop above the highs that the bulls couldn’t hold on to. I’ll take a 1.5% risk with the prospects of a few hundred point correction any day.
Now look at the short-term $AAPL chart:
And the best part is that I don’t care about how many iphones they’re selling. I care even less about the $100B cash on the books. And the P/E ratio? My computer shuts off automatically if I ever type that in.
It’s all about finding good risk vs reward opportunities. And I think this is one of them.
Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my Terms & Conditions page for a full disclaimer.blog comments powered by Disqus
J.C. Parets is the Founder & President of Eagle Bay Capital, LLC. He is a 10-year veteran and Market Technician who actively manages money incorporating Technical Analysis and Behavioral Finance into his practice. JC’s work has been featured regularly on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, Business News Network, Wall Street Journal and Yahoo Finance among many other financial media outlets. More...
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