This is the perfect sort of market to look for relative strength.
When the tape is sideways and choppy, you want to see the first ones showing their heads above resistance levels and breaking higher. While it's not necessarily a great idea to buy those breakouts given their high likelihood to fail with everything else moving sideways, it is wise to simply note them down.
In the case of this week, MATIC stands out.
It climbed up two spots on our power rankings and the long-term setup is so well defined.
In the case of crypto, people will try to tie the action to the presidential odds or geopolitical tensions. And while I'm not denying their existence, it's not really surprising that these developments are coming out after Bitcoin retested its former highs.
It's why we switched our short-term bias to neutral on Monday; it pays to follow money flow.
Putting all this aside, there are still some winners. Not everything is a complete catastrophe.
Instead, some of the smart wallets on-chain are actually buying a few tokens here. That's what we explore in this week's video.
The big story this week has been the Ethereum ETF.
From the early data I'm seeing, it doesn't look to be as spectacular of a launch compared to the Bitcoin ETFs. But this is understandable and was expected.
The lackluster action in crypto markets has continued. This is even in the face of yesterday's action that saw the US dollar continue it sell off as small-caps and market breadth saw its most productive day the entire year.
This time last week, I was arguing a reset had taken place and with Bitcoin testing support, it was a logical place to see buyers step in. As of the writing of this letter, Bitcoin is making new three month lows.
Following this, I want to see a few scenarios play out before entering back into longs with any conviction.
Altcoins are being slaughtered; I keep pointing to the tendency for such topping patterns to fail in the context of bull markets. But again, I need to see the market prove this thesis before acting on it.
There is also a significant divergence brewing between macro and crypto markets.
I keep coming back to the fact that we've just experienced a reset in the context of a bull market.
The primary uptrends are still higher.
So when I see coins consolidating and retesting support in the context of bull markets, I'm viewing that as a buying opportunity.
On the other end of the spectrum, there are a number of coins that have broken down to new lows. But it wouldn't surprise me to see these catch higher in the coming weeks, putting in the classic 'not a top' pattern we've seen so much in this bull market.