In Part 2 of our Fibonacci Series we dive into Frequencies with Jim Bartelloni.
If you're already familiar with my others videos with Bart, you know this is all math. No fundamentals to see here!
In this video we look at the similarities between the shapes made by vibrating grains of sand and the ups and downs of the stock market, particularly the Small-cap Russell2000 ETF $IWM.
"We’re buying $CSCO January 70 calls for approximately 23 cents. These options are priced as a long shot and we’ll be treating it as such. I’m fully prepared to lose 100% of my capital on this trade if $CSCO doesn’t make the move we need. So I’ll be sizing my position accordingly.
But if it goes our way, we should get plenty of opportunity to take our original risk off the table along the way. My best practice is to sell half of my position when the value of the options have doubled. And I will do that in this case. Then I’ll hold the rest, looking for the big move.
If $CSCO gets to our 74 price target, those 70 strike calls will be worth at least $4.00 — probably more, depending on when that price is reached. $4.00 per contract would be 20x what we originally paid. YAHTZEE!"
"I like a $BSX Nov/Mar 50-strike Call Calendar spread for a $1.15 debit or cheaper. This means I’ll be long the March 50 calls and short an equal amount of November 50 calls for a net debit which represents the most I can lose in this trade if it short-circuits on us."
To learn more about the trade and the thinking behind it, click below to watch a replay of the Live Stream.
This week I had a chance to chat with my old pal Phil Pearlman, who's the Chief Behavioral Officer at Osprey Funds.
Phil and I have been talking markets regularly for over a decade, both behind the scenes and on YouTube.
Never in our wildest dreams did we think we would be here today discussing on-chain analysis of crypto currencies. But here we are!
In today's video we discuss two of my favorite gauges of sentiment, the exchange balances and the dormancy rates. We also touch on the current breadth in crypto markets as the percentage of coins breaking out to new 30 day highs continues to expand.
You guys know that I use Fibonacci levels to help us identify targets and manage risk.
And you've all seen it work, with your own eyes, for many years. I have too, of course, as one of the gang here calculating these levels every day.
But I've never quite understood WHY it works. How come these numbers keep showing up all over Nature. Why do the prices of stocks and other assets keep respecting these levels?
When I get asked, I don't have an answer.
But if there's anyone I'm going to ask, it's gonna be Bart. So that's what I did.
I only live about an hour from New York City, but it was my first time back since March 2020. It felt good.
Manhattan had been my home for over a decade before I moved to California in 2015. I've been back on the East coast now for about a year and a half, but haven't been able to enjoy NYC for obvious reasons.
It was good being back. The sushi there is on another level. You don't get that sort of thing in the suburbs.
Anyway, I dropped by to see my friends at Ritholtz Wealth Management to talk all things markets, technical analysis, finding the strongest stocks and how the Heat & Knicks did in the offseason.
