Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to longer-term minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.
Introducing the Young Aristocrats. We like to say these are "stocks that pay you to make money". Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
Metals are soaring and we're tracking this space to see if the sector breaks above its resistance. We are currently working on the Quarterly Playbook for our Premium members but wanted to pause and share some interesting ideas with you guys here.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
After several months of consolidation, the major indexes have set the foundation for another leg upward in line with their primary trends. We've been seeing many of them resolve higher in recent weeks.
We continue to see rotation into economically sensitive and cyclical assets - supporting our view that there is a strong appetite, not aversion, for risk.
And the FICC markets continue to confirm this bullish environment for stocks and risk assets.
Consumer Staples stocks are breaking out to new all-time highs. These are the stocks representing the companies whose services and products we as consumers would still buy regardless of how bad the economy might be. These stocks historically outperform by a lot when stocks in general are under pressure, which makes sense right?
I mean, no matter what, we're still going to brush our teeth and wash our dishes, drink beers and smoke cigarettes. Those are the "Consumer Staples": Procter & Gamble, Pepsi, Philip Morris, etc.
When stocks are doing well, you'll see Staples underperforming, because money is less willing to pay up for those defensive less growthy stocks. I wrote about this here and how this plays into our approach in the current market environment.
Anyway, here are Staples breaking out to new highs, and key extension level:
In a further effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger more Macro thesis, we couldn't be happier to roll out and share our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."
We'll also be writing a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from the watchlist. This is the first edition.
Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.
In order to make it onto our Minor League list, you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.
Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy.
Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Nifty Infra is pushing up against its long-term resistance. While the index has halted at these levels before, current market rally may lead to a breakout soon, going by the bullish momentum we're seeing in the index.
We've been tracking the cement space, and while earlier there were limited actionable trades, recent buying interest grabbed our attention again. We decided to dig a little deeper and found some actionable ideas.
Let’s take a look at this space and see what the charts have to say.
Nifty Infrastructure is taking another shot at its long-term resistance. With RSI alluding to bullish momentum and price moving higher, we could witness a good move in this sector going forward.
Since June, we've seen so many different breadth thrusts in the Large-cap Indexes, Small-cap Indexes and even within specific sectors. They keep showing up.
So when you look back historically, these breadth thrusts tend to come near the beginning of strong uptrends, not near the end of them. Go back in history and you'll notice how consistent this is.
So today, I thought I'd share some thoughts from the peanut gallery regarding my comments about this being the beginning of a new bull market, and not the end of one.
When assets are in strong uptrends, they tend to not just do well on an absolute basis, but they also outperform their alternatives. In the case of stocks, some good alternatives would be Bonds and Gold. No, not bitcoin.
So with stocks all over the world breaking out to new highs, more and more stocks participating, and even the biggest laggards around the world catching a bid, how are they performing relative to their alternatives?
Well, here is Gold vs the Nasdaq Composite breaking down to new 19-year lows. The trend is strong in this one:
The bullish trend in the market continues as more and more sectors and subsets join the rally. We have maintained our bullish stance on the Financial Services sector for quite some time but we thought we should dig a little deeper this time. Today we decided to look at a subset that has been performing well and could witness greater returns in the weeks and months ahead - Insurance.
