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[Premium] Q4 2020 Playbook

October 12, 2020

This is our ASC Research Q4 Playbook.

The first section dives deep into the US Stock Market, and the second half covers International Stock Markets and FICC (Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies).

You can skip right to the trade ideas here if you'd like, or give the full report a read!

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (10-12-2020)

October 12, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

In recent week's RPP Reports, we've discussed how Equity Markets had become more of a mixed bag with many key assets trading right at or near critical levels.

This week, we'll follow up on some of these areas we've been pointing out in recent reports and see how they look now.

The bottom line is that while there have definitely been more bullish than bearish developments since last week, prices continue to flirt with the risk levels we've previously outlined.

We still believe the weight of the evidence is in favor of the bulls, but with so many assets at inflection points, we're paying close attention to every new day's data as it...

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[Premium] 2-to-100 Club (10-07-2020)

October 8, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2-to-100 club.

Something we've been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap and into mid-cap status (over $2B) then they enter our radar.

But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from. Some of the best-performers in recent decades – from the likes of Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, and Salesforce, to a myriad of others… they all would have been on this list at some point.

When you look at the stocks in our table you will notice we are only focused on technology and growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online Retail, Solar, and more.

Then as any good technician, we are filtering the list by those names that are closest to 52-week highs. This allows the cream of...

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (10-05-2020)

October 5, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Like we discussed last week, Equity Markets are becoming more of a mixed bag. This week, we'll expand on this theme.

Prices continue to flirt with the risk levels we've outlined for various assets in recent weeks. We still believe the weight of the evidence is in favor of the bulls, but with so many assets at inflection points, we're paying close attention to every new day's data as it comes in.

Starting at the US Index table, we can see the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ and Transports $IYT had a quieter week, while laggards such as the SMIDs caught a healthy bid, all up about 4.5%.

...

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-29-2020)

September 29, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Like we discussed last week, Equity Markets are becoming more of a mixed bag, but there are still plenty of strong areas we want to be betting on.

We're back above the risk levels we've outlined in recent weeks for most major indexes and we believe the resumption in relative strength from former leadership groups such as the Nasdaq, Tech, and Growth has given us a heads up that the recent correction low is in.

With that as our intermediate-term view on Equities, this post will focus on the strongest areas of the market that we again want to be leaning on for long opportunities to express our bullish thesis in the weeks and months ahead.

Starting at the...

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-22-2020)

September 23, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Our last RPP report took a deep look at the damage endured by the most important assets in the world during the recent selloff.

We held this report back a few days this week because the S&P just broke beneath our risk level and was in correction territory, down roughly 10% from its highs intraday on Monday. We wanted to see how things would shake out, and we're glad we did. Let's talk about it.

While many areas have held up quite well and are showing signs of a near-...

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Chips And Trains

September 15, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Something we discuss a lot, especially internally, is what we refer to as "New Dow Theory."

It's merely the idea that instead of looking at Dow Transports $DJT as the confirming average for Dow Industrials (or the broader market), we should be looking at the Semiconductors index $SOX.

The reasoning behind this is simple, and we won't get too far into it. The bottom line is that as the US has shifted from a Manufacturing to Services Economy, the methods used to transport modern-day goods and services are very different than they were almost a century ago when Dow Theory was first introduced.

If you feel like going down the rabbit-hole on this like I did, here'...

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-14-2020)

September 14, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Our last RPP report took a high-level look at the initial damage endured by the recent selloff.

This past week, we saw follow through on that weakness. That means we’ve got to take a deeper look at how the most important assets in the world have held up.

For the first time off the March lows, we’re starting to see a change in character in the way that the market corrects. Particularly Equity Markets, so that will be our focus this week.

Ultimately, while the...

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The RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-07-2020)

September 7, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we're watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Last week, we followed up on some of the charts we recently cautioned were approaching overhead supply to see how they reacted to these critical levels.

Since we experienced a bit of a selloff on Thursday and Friday, this week we’re going to keep it simple and take a high-level look at some of the most important assets in the world and assess any damage that was endured...

...Spoiler alert: there wasn't much.

Where better to start than with US Equity Markets.

Click table to enlarge view.

...