From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In early July we were looking at some divergences that were signaling a potential short-term bottom in US Interest Rates.

That thesis was quickly proven wrong as global yields pulled the US down with them, and last week in our Conference Call we discussed our current outlook for Bonds and their many intermarket relationships.

Earlier this week JC discussed the fact that Bonds are at an interesting level relative to the S&P 500 as well.

Yesterday I discussed some of the pitfalls to avoid when using Bond ETFs as a proxy for the underlying assets.

Needless to say, we've been talking a lot about Bonds.

In this post, I'm going to take a simplified look at price action and momentum of the 2, 5, 10, and 30-Year Treasuries to assess the reward/risk and if there's a short-term trading opportunity at current levels.

We saw some late week strength in US Stocks for two consecutive weeks. When buyers have had the opportunity to buy stocks on weakness, have they shown up to do so? I would argue yes.

That doesn't mean that we're not below overhead supply in most sectors and indexes. There are a few exceptions but let's get right into it and see what's going on.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In early June we wrote a post titled "Canada Update" advocating for a patient approach towards Canadian Equities and outlining some well-defined reward/risk setups.

Since not a lot has changed at the TSX Composite or TSX 60 level, we want to take another look two months later to see what's developed under the surface and where there are opportunities to profit.

These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.

This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday August 13th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call:

We're below former resistance levels in all of the major US Indexes. While structurally, longer-term uptrends are still intact, there is short-term risk of price volatility and/or opportunity cost. This is where establishing your time horizon is important. We laid out important levels from an intermediate-term horizon earlier this week. I think we're in for more of a sideways mess than anything else for now.

Historic breakouts are rarely clean. Go back and look at the early 80s. If we are to resolve this 18-month range in US Indexes higher, with European Stocks also breaking out, I'd argue it's a historic market event. If that happens, a bumpy start would not be anything we haven't seen before at other important points in the past.

With that in mind, let's take today to focus on where we stand in momentum.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Cannabis stocks have been a bit of a disaster since late March, but let's take a look at what's happening and if there's a way to play it.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

This post is a deep dive into the Social Media subsector, which was the topic of this week's Mystery Chart.

For full the full context around this post, please read that one first.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

As part of our Institutional Top 10 Charts report on February 21st, we wrote about why Litecoin was leading the Cryptocurrency regime change.

Several weeks later on April 3rd, we followed-up on that call by noting the improving price action of Bitcoin and Ethereum and suggesting a long-term bottom was likely in for the Crypto space.

Several months later, let's see where we are now.

We've been writing about Financial Services/Bank Stock outperformance for a while, especially as it relates to the breadth of the broader market.

Despite Financial Services accounting for a third of the Nifty 500's weighting, they cannot support the entire market on their own. Especially if/when they need to correct...like they are now.

That brings us to today's charts.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We've been watching some of the Energy ETFs we track most of this year for potential mean-reversion opportunities on the long side.

We recently discussed for our Institutional Clients an opportunity in the Small-Cap Energy ETF (PSCE), which rallied 17.50% from its 2018 lows before reversing back to those levels again.

The main issue in Energy remains that there appears to be an attractive mean reversion opportunity at the ETF level, but when we drill down into individual stocks there aren't many clean setups...making it difficult to identify what the main drivers of this move higher would be.

Let's take a look.

For the purpose of this exercise, we're going to look at Oil Services ETF (OIH) because its risk management level is the cleanest of the Energy subsectors.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We've been pointing to the improving relative strength of Financials in the face of falling Interest Rates in the US and around the world.

Today I want to focus on what we're seeing in Regional Banks.