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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Stock Market's a Mess!

September 11, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

You can find the whole list of trades here.

Below you'll find the full PDF of this week's charts:

 

 

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Last Week In August

August 28, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

You can find the whole list of trades here.

Below you'll find the full PDF of this week's charts:

 

 

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Choppy Chop Chop

August 21, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

This chart below tells a great story.

Want to know what's happening in the Stock Market? Here's a pretty good one that helps explain:

Remember, historically the S&P Industrials have the highest positive correlation with the S&P500, of all the Sectors. It's probably because it's so diversified: Airlines, Heavy Machinery, Human Resources, Railroads, Logistics Companies, Engineering, Trucks, Security & Alarm Services, Defense Companies and the list goes on.

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Banks Are Emerging

August 14, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

We came into last week wondering if we'd get follow through from Bank stocks.

I think we can all agree that we did. And not just in the U.S. but around the world.

Here are Regional Banks above those key 2018 highs:

There are few things as bullish as Regional Bank stocks acting well.

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Stocks Up / Gold Down

August 7, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

The talk around town this week is the potential "double bottom" in US Interest Rates. 

You can see that here along with the higher low in the highly correlated Regional Bank stocks:

Is the resiliency in Copper pointing to higher rates?

You can see Copper relative to Gold here and how closely the ratio moves with rates:

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Some Up, Most Down.

July 24, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

I rip through more charts than almost anyone in the world. 

Here's the bottom line. Some stocks are going up, most stocks are not.

That's the answer.

You want know what's up? That's the deal.

So are more stocks going to start going up too? 

Maybe.

But right now that's the trend. Mostly a choppy sideways hot mess, with some stocks resolving those consolidations higher.

One thing I will add, however, is the lack of downside resolutions.

We're just not seeing these stocks and indexes breaking down and holding down. Or at least, we're not seeing more and more of them do that.

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Seasonal Headwinds

July 17, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

I've also promised you guys that I would do my best to highlight the work of some of my friends who I think do a good job of analyzing markets. 

So today I want to show you a seasonal chart from Ari Wald, Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer.

The main chart represents the US Presidential Cycle peaking in the 3rd quarter of Post-Election years. That's this quarter.

Click Chart to Zoom in

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: What Are Rates Pointing To?

July 10, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

What are these falling rates suggesting for the rest of this summer?

I think this one tells an interesting story. I believe there are implications here for small-caps.

An upside resolution in $IWM likely means rates have found a floor:

But they still have some work to do. 

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Some Stocks Are Going Up. Most Are Not.

July 3, 2021

There are stocks going up and there are stocks that are not going up.

What you're not really seeing is many stocks going down.

That's probably the best way to describe this market.

We've outlined our long positions, particularly those that have been showing relative strength and positive momentum. Those areas are working.

But most stocks are not.

You can see the difference in the Value Line indexes, when we compare them to the S&P500. Think of these more of the "Median" stock:

You can see the same thing in other areas we look for confirmation of risk appetite. Both the Aussie/Yen and the High Beta / Low Volatility ratios are not confirming the new highs in S&Ps:

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Mixed Signals Persist

June 26, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

One thing that stood out to me this week was the relentless amount of mixed intermarket signals.

On one hand, we have Lumber Futures getting completely destroyed. When I've ignored Lumber in the past, it's been a mistake.

This is probably something we shouldn't ignore:

On the other hand, if things were about to get worse for the Stock market, then why are Consumer Staples and Utilities both making new relative lows?

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Best Charts of the Week

June 19, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. You can read more about the reasoning behind this post here

We're just interested in aggregating all of the charts we put together throughout the week and organizing them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

One thing that stood out to me this week was this table of new highs and new lows. It's a great way to visualize what's going on underneath the surface:

I also see here how investors have way too much exposure to stocks, compared to historical measures. We're seeing this in other sentiment data too.

But here's the Household Asset Allocation Stocks vs Bonds ratio:

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The Stock Market Is NOT Getting Worse, At Least Not Yet...

June 12, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. You can read more about the reasoning behind this post here

We're just interested in aggregating all of the charts we put together throughout the week and organizing them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

One thing that stood out to me this week is the lack of deterioration underneath the surface.

We're just not getting an expansion in new lows.

Fewer new highs? Yes definitely. For a while now.

But more new lows? 

Not broadly speaking yet, no.