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[Options] When the Ducks (Gold Bugs) Are Quackin, We Feed Them

July 29, 2020

The title of this trade plan is a modified take on a famous old floor traders saw. Basically, when experienced floor traders saw the entire pit screaming to hit the same bid or offer, the rule of thumb was to give 'em what they want. Take the other side and close your position when all those same lemmings try to hit the exits at the same time too.

It was the second easiest money on the floor (first was "trading against paper" --- which is you and me.)

The trade I'm putting on the board is a loose take on this idea. But instead of fading direction, we're going to fade the volatility premium priced into Gold options today.

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Weekly Preview (07-27-2020)

July 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook and some of the things we're watching for in the week ahead.

This week we're going to highlight our International ETF and Global Index tables, and focus on some of the rotation we're seeing into more offensive assets across the board. Let's dive into it.

Emerging Markets $EEM, particularly Latin America $ILF, continue to rebound strong. These two indexes were this week's leaders on our International ETF list but notice that they are also the top performers over the trailing one and three month periods.

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Under The Hood (07-24-2020)

July 24, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

This week we have a handful of trade ideas on the long side, many of which belong to the Health Care space and are working on Covid-19 vaccines.

We'll also walk through a number of mega-cap bellwethers and get a feel for what's going on in that space.

The stock market has been going crazy again this week, and maybe it's beginning to rub off on me... We usually only share about 10 charts in this post, but there is just too much going on in these names so I went a little crazy myself in looking through the charts for this week's post. We ended up with 14. Let's dive into it!

Here is this week's list of most popular stocks, measured by net increases in Robinhood accounts that hold shares.

[Options] It's Time...

July 22, 2020

JC's been pounding the table to me about Abbott Labs $ABT for a couple weeks now.

I've been slow playing it, waiting for some new highs. We're getting them now. It's time to get involved.

The base $ABT formed over the last three months is a thing of beauty. And the fact that it's in a hot sector and printing new all-time highs is only sweetener. Then when you add in the fact that options premiums are at the lowest levels since March and I'm starting to get pretty excited.

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Buying These Canadian Stocks

July 20, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Last time we wrote about Canada, our primary focus was on the breakouts occurring in many of the Gold Miners.

This time, we're looking for stocks displaying long-term trends of absolute momentum and relative strength...and we're buying them.

Let's get into the charts.

Here's Canadian national Railway going out at all-time highs last week. From a structural perspective, this signals the continuation of the stock's long-term uptrend and indicates a target up towards 160. If you want to keep your risk management tight, then 128 is the level, but if you want to give it more room then this thesis remains intact if prices are above 120.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

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No Puns...Just Marijuana Stocks We're Buying

July 18, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We haven't taken a look at the Marijuana sector in a while, so today I'm going to review where the sector stands on an absolute and relative basis...and which stocks we're buying (if any).

Normally I'd have a pun or two here, but I've decided to take the high road and focus solely on the charts this time.

First, let's start at the index level with the Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ). prices gapped below our price objective at 12.60 earlier in the year, consolidated for two months, and then gapped back above it...forming an "island reversal" bottom on the weekly chart.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Since then, prices have successfully retested support multiple times, so it would appear the bias is higher towards 22 as long as we're above 12.60.