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Young Aristocrats (December 2024)

December 26, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

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2 to 100 Club (12-26-2024)

December 26, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

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The Short Report (12-24-2024)

December 24, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

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It's Just 30 Stocks. Let's Go Through Each of Them.

December 23, 2024

Don't Fight Papa Dow. That's how I learned it.

And it's not just about the Dow Jones Industrial Average itself. It's the 30 stocks that make up the index that we're even more interested in.

If you get the direction of these 30 stocks right, you'll get the market right.

Don't believe me? Go overlay a chart of the S&P500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. They're the same.

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Under The Hood (12-23-2024)

December 23, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended December 20, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

under the hood logo, dark navy

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

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Republicans Hate It

December 22, 2024

I just got back from a week in Disney with a 4yr old and twin 2yr olds. Wow what a workout! 

The experience further reiterated why I'm long $DIS and why I'm going to buy more.

They got some racket going down there in Florida. $12 hot dogs? $15 popcorn? And lines around the corner with people waiting to buy them?

That's some hustle they got. Good for them.

The way I see it, if you can't beat 'em, join 'em right? You can get frustrated by the money suck if you want, or you can be a shareholder and profit right along with them. I chose the latter when I got back from this Disney trip a year ago.

But let me tell you this, the $12 hot dogs and $300 princess dresses are NOT why I'm long the stock. 

It's that the republicans hate it. They don't like how "woke" the company has gotten. 

And since we know that humans have a hard time separating a company and a stock, there is money to be made here by exploiting those who let their politics and "morals" influence their decision making in public markets.

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Here Comes Santa Claus

December 21, 2024

This year's Santa Claus Rally Period starts on Tuesday.

To clear up any confusion, the official period for the annual Santa Claus Rally includes the last 5 trading days of the year and the first 2 of the following year, for a total of 7 days.

Since 1950, the S&P500 has averaged a 1.3% gain during this period. And if you want to take it back further, since 1928 we've seen an average gain of 1.6%. This compares to just a 0.2% gain for any other random 7 day period throughout the rest of the year. 

Every year is slightly different, depending on which days Christmas and New Years fall on the Calendar. 

The last 5 days of 2024 begin this Tuesday December 24th. And the first 2 days of next year include January 2nd and 3rd. So the official 7 day period this year goes from December 24th - January 3rd

And while traditionally, this is a much more bullish time of the year, compared to other periods, the bigger concern is if Santa doesn't show up.

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Look at how many New Lows

December 20, 2024

Did you see how many stocks made new lows this week?

It wasn't many.

When you look at how dramatic people have been about a few stocks selling off a little bit, you would think that an actual correction might be taking place in the market.

But if you thought that humans act logically, then you clearly don't know humans.

Irrational behavior is actually the only thing that the market guarantees. And you saw it again this week.

I mean, you didn't even get an expansion of stocks making new lows!

This was nothing.

All you have to do is go and count. You'll quickly see how the new 52-week lows list is almost non-existent. In fact, you saw fewer new 52-week lows on the NYSE this week than you did in early August.

But if you look even shorter-term, say new 3-month lows, you didn't seen any sort of expansion there either.

Look at the total new 3-month lows among Large-caps, Mid-caps and Small-caps. 

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(Commodities Weekly) All Gas No Brakes: Why We're Buying This Commodity 📈🔥

December 20, 2024

Mr. Market keeps sending us inflationary signals. Have you noticed?

Last Friday, we talked about cattle futures potentially leading bond yields higher. 

Boy, was that the case this week as bond yields soared on the heels of an FOMC meeting.

We've also talked about a rotation into the energy sector, which has been in the penalty box for most of this bull market.