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Follow the Aussie’s Next Move

January 30, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The entire marketplace is fixated on tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.

Will the Fed make its first rate cut in March, or will it be in June?

Who knows.

I enjoy speculating as much as the next guy, but I’m not into guessing on next moves by central bankers.

I prefer to track another market participant with a Ph.D. in economics, Dr. Copper.

And we can’t discuss copper without including the Australian dollar!

Check out the Australian dollar overlaid with copper futures:

They look almost identical.

I added a 10-day rolling correlation study in the lower pane, highlighting the tight relationship over shorter time frames.

Cathie Wood's ARK Is Loading Biotech Stocks

January 30, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment Management is on our list today, as it just filed multiple 13G filings on the following stocks:

  • Teladoc Health, Inc $TDOC, increasing its ownership stake from 11.43% to 12.82%;
  • Intellia Therapeutics, Inc $NTLA, increasing its ownership stake from 10.52% to 12.74%;
  • Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc $RXRX, initiating a 9.92% stake;
  • Verve Therapeutics, Inc $VERV, increasing its ownership stake from 5.43% to 8.84%;
  • Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc $DNA, increasing its ownership stake from 8.92% to 12.26%; and
  • Twist Bioscience Corp $TWST, increasing its ownership stake from 11.60% to 12.51%.

"Only Tech Driving This Market"

January 30, 2024

I understand that some people are lazy and don't like to count.

I get that.

Also, journalists are NOT in the business of telling you the truth. The truth is just a commodity at this point, and that's no longer a secret. Word's gotten out. So it's either gross sensationalism or false information to get you to consume their content.

And then, of course, you have your standard charlatans who need to cherry pick data and manipulate anchor points so that they don't look as foolish for missing this entire bull market.

So what ends up happening is that if you're told something enough times, and you haven't actually done the work, you start to believe it.

"It's only Tech stocks that are driving this market"

Sound familiar?

But for those of you who actually take the time to look, you know it obviously isn't true.

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The Minor Leaguers (01-29-2024)

January 29, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

[Options] Back to the Wells

January 29, 2024

We got stopped out of a Wells Fargo trade a couple of weeks ago, and it looks like that was the whipsaw it needed to shake weak hands out. And since I was shaken out, I consider myself among the weak hands squad. I'm ok with that.

But given what we've seen since we were stopped out, we're getting back in for another try. This time, with tighter risk management and a longer runway.

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One Chart Every Goldbug Must Track

January 29, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Precious metal charts aren’t painting a bullish picture for investors.

Silver is underperforming gold. The Gold Miners ETF $GDX is posting new all-time lows versus the broader market. And everywhere you look, individual gold mining stocks are breaking down.

Well, not all mining stocks. One chart continues to fly high…

Check out Buenaventura S.A.A. $BVN:

CEO Sabo Reports a $2 Million CODI Purchase

January 29, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a series of Form 4 filings by Elias Sabo, director and CEO of Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC $CODI.

Sabo reported an aggregate CODI purchase worth roughly $2 million.

When Does This Bull Market End?

January 29, 2024

The S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq100 all went out last week at new all-time highs. Again.

We're now officially in Month #20 of this bull market that began in June of 2022.

We've seen some corrections along the way, and my bet is that we see more of them this year.

One could argue that stocks have already been correcting over the past 6 weeks.

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[Premium] Details For February 2024 Monthly Strategy Session

January 29, 2024

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday February 5th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening: