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Interest Rates Run Out of Gas

March 1, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

US Treasuries are taking a back seat to risk assets.

Bond market volatility is declining. Credit spreads are tightening. And Emerging Market high-yield bonds ($EMHY) are breaking out. 

Meanwhile, stocks are posting new all-time highs.

So, how high will interest rates climb over the near term?

My gut tells me not far — at least not in the coming weeks or months…

Check out the US benchmark rate finding resistance at approximately 4.33:

Last month’s high marks a logical ceiling for the US benchmark rate. 

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Gold Will Lead the Way

March 1, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What happened to those everyday commodity contracts the average investor follows?

I’m talking about crude oil, gold, and copper.

These days, it’s all about cattle futures, orange juice, or cocoa hitting an all-time high. 

I’m sure everyone down at the NYMEX or the folks over at the CBOT in Chicago are having a ball. But what about the stock traders trying to get a piece of the action?

Sure, the energy trade is starting to work again. But gold has been a range-bound mess since the summer of 2020. And gold mining stocks have been an absolute dumpster fire.

It just doesn’t make sense amid a commodity bull run…

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International Hall of Famers (03-01-2024)

March 1, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

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[Options Premium] All is Good in the Hood

March 1, 2024

The speculative fever is returning in a big way.

Today's trade is in one of those names that has already benefited from the recent surge in stocks and crypto prices and is likely to continue thriving if this brewing mania is here to stay for a while longer.

Crude Oil Up 2 Months In A Row For 2024

March 1, 2024

What a month for investors!

My understanding is that due to higher inflation, February now has 29 days.

And so here we are: March 1st.

You know what that means?

New Monthly Charts are now available, and we'll be going over it all together this Monday March 4th @ 6PM ET.

Premium Members can register for that here.

In the meantime, check out the monthly candlesticks for Crude Oil Futures. Look at this massive base above support:

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Gold Will Lead the Way

March 1, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What happened to those everyday commodity contracts the average investor follows?

I’m talking about crude oil, gold, and copper.

These days, it’s all about cattle futures, orange juice, or cocoa hitting an all-time high. 

I’m sure everyone down at the NYMEX or the folks over at the CBOT in Chicago are having a ball. But what about the stock traders trying to get a piece of the action?

Sure, the energy trade is starting to work again. But gold has been a range-bound mess since the summer of 2020. And gold mining stocks have been an absolute dumpster fire.

It just doesn’t make sense amid a commodity bull run…

No, the absence of gold and copper breakouts doesn’t make much sense, and neither does crude oil underperforming gold as interest rates rise:

Solana Breaks Out To New Highs

March 1, 2024

One thing we've learned from well over 100 years of Tradfi, is that during bull markets the laggards catch up to the leaders.

We see the opposite during bear markets, where the remaining leaders end up catching down to the culprits that are already leading the way lower.

You see, with Bitcoin and Ethereum getting all the headlines with their new highs this month, Solana had been the largest crypto currency that was missing in action.

And well here you have it, Solana now joining the party, and being added to the new 52-week high list:

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[Premium] Details For March 2024 Monthly Strategy Session

March 1, 2024

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday March 4th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening: