As Technicians we like to use the phrase "the bigger the base, the higher in space" when talking about breakouts from consolidations. Long periods of indecisive price action build a lot of potential energy that is then released once a stock breaks out of its range. This applies to any asset class on any timeframe because the psychology behind the pattern is exactly the same. The weight of the evidence continues to suggest we want to be long equities, so I've taken a look through the Nifty Midcap 150 and identified some of the best bases that are either breaking out or look poised to over the intermediate-term.

In JC's All Star Charts May Monthly Conference call for subscribers, there was a theme that he consistently revisited: Bonds are going lower.

There's no need to over-complicate this stuff. We could waste time arguing about what increasing interest rates means for the stock market, or yield's implications on policy decisions in Washington, the effect to be felt in the housing market, or how retirees savings may or may not be effected. That might fill airtime on SHOUT!TV, but all we care about here is positioning ourselves to make money. Leave the intellectual debates to the talkers.

We're the doers, and we want to position ourselves for further downside in bonds.

I'm not the kind of guy that likes to give funny names to price patterns in the market. For me, it's more about the implications of that market behavior and less about what we call it. Today I want to take a look at US Treasury Bonds and what some price observers might refer to as a 'Head & Shoulders Top'.

The reason this is a popular pattern is because, as humans, it is easy for us to identify and relate to. Each of us have a pair of shoulders and a head that stands in between and above them. In today's chart, the Head and 2 Shoulders are fairly easy to point out. We're looking at the US Treasury Bond ETF $TLT:

Stocks in the United States aren't up because of what is happening in New York or Washington DC. They are up despite of what is going on in those places. Stocks in the U.S. are up because stocks all over the world are up. That's how this works.

So when we are trying to figure out whether the next move in stocks is higher or lower, and whether we should be buying them or selling them, we don't just want to look within U.S. borders. By doing that we're missing the bigger picture. We care less about the behavior of stocks in our own country and more about stocks as an asset class.

...then you simply have to get long The Granddaddy Oracle $ORCL here.

It appears Oracle has successfully digested the hit the stock took after it's most recent earnings report, and the stock is hanging just above the highs it set back in the year 2000! I could be wrong, of course, but I just don't see $ORCL holding around these levels for too much longer. There's just no way it recoups 2000 levels and then just stops here.

Earlier this week, JC pointed out that the software sector broke out to new all-time highs. I don't mean to keep harping on this, as you've no doubt read JC making this point over and over, but this sector making highs is simply not something we are likely to see if the overall market is pointing to a bear market.

The third largest component in the software index is Service Now, ticker $NOW. And we see an interesting opportunity developing.

Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts India Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the India Share Market. We take a look at all of the NSE Indexes and Sectors as well as some of our own custom indexes. At Allstarcharts we have become known around the world for the top/down approach to stocks. After we analyze each of the indexes and sectors and have identified where the strength and weakness lies, then we break it down to individual stock opportunities. By having momentum, relative strength and market trend in our favor, the probabilities of success increase dramatically.

The Indian Financial Services sector is broken down into three formal sector indices: The Nifty Financial Services index, the Nifty Bank index, and the Nifty Public Sector (PSU) Bank index. Both the Nifty Financial Services and Nifty Bank index have been showing great leadership, sitting just off their all-time highs on both an absolute and relative basis, however, the Nifty Public Sector Bank index has not participated to the same extent. 

I think our messaging has been clear that we want to be buying equities, and buying those showing relative strength. The Nifty Financial Services index and the Nifty Bank index are sitting just off all-time highs relative to the Nifty 500, so I've done a deep dive into them to highlight the best large, mid, and small cap names on the long side. I've also included some names from the Nifty Public Sector (PSU) Bank index, but would note that it's hitting 2-year lows relative to the Nifty 500 and therefore has a much smaller representation on this list despite being part of the Financial Services sector as a whole. 

I am a firm believer that the Stock Market, U.S. or otherwise, is in an uptrend that began in early 2016, or summer of 2016. You can buy me beers one day and we'll discuss less relevant data points, like this 6 month difference, that dorks like me enjoy arguing about over beers. The point is, however, that this is a new bull market, not a 9-year old one like some people like to tell you.

So if we're in a bull market, then consolidations within this uptrend should resolve in the direction of the underlying trend, which is up in our opinion. The first industry group to break out from this consolidation the past couple of months and make new highs is Software. It's a major standout guys and we need to pay attention. So here's a breakdown of the sector components and which ones we want to be buying right now.