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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/13/24

September 13, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XME position.
  3. No exits since the last report
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. NEW: Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Every Sector is in an Uptrend

September 13, 2024

ASC Premium Membership is for people who put money to work on a regular basis.

It’s for people who want steady idea flow through the cycle, bull market or bear.

It’s for people who want to navigate the market every day with the help of a team of professionals.

And it now includes our exclusive 12-week ASC Mastermind Course, where we’ll study the foundation of all our research.

Click here to join us RISK FREE.

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All 11 sectors in the S&...

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Sink or Swim With Junk Bonds

September 13, 2024

When Junk Bond traders jump ship, I’m out of stocks.

With all the talk about credit spreads “blowing out” since early August, this is an important discussion to have right now.

We always trust the bond market. Throughout history, bonds have done an impeccable job at alerting investors about problems in risk asset markets. 

When there is stress in other markets, it shows up in fixed income first.

However, as technical analysts, we are mindful of the math that is behind some of the relationships we study and give weight to.

What if I told you that industrials have been massive underperformers during this bull market? 

The absolute price chart looks incredible. How could that be?

We call it the denominator fallacy. 

Benchmarked against the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100, of course they are underperforming. 

We think there is a similar situation playing out for our bond market ratios right now.

 

The absolute chart up top looks great. The relative trend, down below, not so much.

...

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📅 Behind the Scenes

September 13, 2024

Heading into this week I was anticipating a bounce. We're seeing this playout and at the same time, we're seeing some positive rotation in stocks.

I have the same exposure in the coins I've discussed in recent weeks, with some additional positions in names like MARA.

Overall, a quiet yet productive week for markets.

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People Love Their Pets

September 12, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

People love their pets... but investors seem to hate them. Could it be muscle memory, back to the glory days, when pets.com was one of the best shorts of the dot com? Are these companies just built poorly?  Whatever it is, short sellers love betting against these names. And lately, it seems like it is the whole group. While the short positioning suggests these companies are all bad, the trends tell us the opposite. Let's talk about the positioning in some of these pet stocks and how we can take advantage of it. 

First up is the $1.3B pet health & wellness services provider, Petco $WOOF:

 

We first covered Petco in June, after the retailer had its best 3-day rally in history.

With a 200% run-up in the month of May, the stock earned a few months of digestion, and that is exactly what's played out.

Last week, it rallied over 50% on the heels of earnings, sparking a new short squeeze.

With a 29% short...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/12/24

September 12, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in USO.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed QQQ for a profit.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. NEW: Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Tech Stocks Are Working

September 12, 2024

I'll be Streaming LIVE TODAY at 4 p.m. ET to talk about what that 20% correction in Semiconductors means for this market, where that money is going next, why markets are usually volatile ahead of November’s election, and what exactly we’re doing to profit from it all.

Click here to join us FREE.

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There are plenty of Technology stocks that are working.

You just have to look.

Our...

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End of the Bull Market

September 11, 2024

That was it?

We can just take our ball and go home now?

The A.I. story has come and gone and the recession that they've been telling us about all these years is finally here?

So this is a major top in Nvidia - ending the whole damn thing?

That's your bet?

 

And this massive top in Microsoft is exactly that - a historic top? One for the record books?

So the largest company on the planet is about to complete this 8 months of institutional distribution and is about to bring down the entire Technology sector?

Keep in mind that Nvidia and Microsoft combine for over 41% of the S&P Technology Index. (Apple is only 5% of Tech now)

Here's what I'm being told is the end for Microsoft...

 

Is that the bet you're making?

This is the end of the bull market?

Because I see Consumer Discretionary as the leading sector over the past month. Look at those returns, all outperforming the major averages by a long shot:

 

And another thing.

You know how we've been pointing out that High Beta has severely underperformed Low Volatility?

Well look at this monster whipsaw.

Keep in mind that...

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[Options Premium] This Company Makes Money

September 11, 2024

Literally.

The trade today is in a company that actually makes money, minting coins. You know, the coins you drop in the pinball machine.

So, no matter how you think about it, the fundamentalists cannot say that this company does not make money. It always makes money.

Fun and word games aside, we've got a trade that has signaled the next big move and today's trading action is offering us a nice pullback in which to get involved at better prices.

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (09-11-2024)

September 11, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/11/24

September 11, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLI position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. NEW: Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!