We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
We went "bottom fishing" with this week's selection, posting a mystery chart that featured a potential bottoming pattern complete with a failed breakdown, fast move higher, and a successful retest of support. These are all bullish characteristics that point to a higher likelihood of this being a true trend reversal.
As we noted earlier this week, bottom fishing is a risky game. But, if we play the bottoming process responsibly, the market could offer us some delicious rewards.
Bullish setups continue to appear -- and work. Sure, there are plenty of reasons for weaker souls to sit on the sidelines over the next few weeks. But only price pays, and when we can use options to clearly define our risks while still participating in a chance for gains, we'd be irresponsible if we didn't step to the plate to take our swings.
Today's trade comes from the recently updated "2 to 100 Club" list and is a $3.7 billion online personal styling and clothing platform.
In this episode of The Money Game, Phil asks about what's more important to me. Is it collecting material things, or enjoying experiences with family and friends?
For me, it's quite obvious after looking back that I've enjoyed my experiences traveling throughout Asia and Europe with my wife. I remember my Dad let me skip school when I was 11 years old to go to Marlins Opening Day in 1993 (My mom was thrilled about that). I have a nice watch that I never wear. I haven't bought a car since 1997. And I have little interest in wearing that nice watch, or yet alone buying another one. I think cars are cool, but I'm still in no rush to go get one.
Let's go out for sushi. How about a hike? College football game perhaps? Let's throw a charity event and raise a ton of money to help people. Want to come to Edison, NJ for Indian food? Go wine tasting in Sonoma Valley? Hit the beaches in Miami or the Caribbean?
Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar.
But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Sometimes we traders overcomplicate things. With so many choices, so many moving parts, so many headlines, so many things vying for our attention on a minute by minute basis, it is easy to become overwhelmed.
It seems so obvious, but often the smartest -- yet the simplest -- thing to do is just keep investing in winners. Objects in motion tend to stay in motion, right? And if we can construct options trades that take advantage of that momentum while defining our risks in case we happen to be the last suckers to pile in before the reversal -- then we should do that all day long and twice on Sundays, right?
With that in mind, today's trade is a momentum name that is no stranger to anyone who has been paying attention to hot names this year.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
