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Mid-Cap Cyclicals Hit Supply

October 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In this week's RPP Report we discussed some of the major developments recently such as the increasing bid for risk-on and reflationary assets, as well as continued rotation into more cyclical areas across all asset classes.

Our report focused mainly on Financials as well as some discussion regarding the recent outperformance from Small and Mid-Caps.

To follow up on this theme, today we'll dig into some other economically sensitive areas like Mid-Cap Industrials and Materials.

We'll take a look at the charts as well as the internals in these sectors in order to illustrate our current outlook.

Global Yields Weighing On Equities

October 28, 2020

In this post, we want to share some research that was provided to our US Subscribers, which attempts to explain why the difference in Interest Rates in Europe and the US is causing trouble in the markets.

Everything between the horizontal lines was written for US subscribers, so keep that in mind as you're reading it. The conclusion/takeaway for India is way at the bottom in bold.

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[Premium] Details For November Monthly Strategy Session

October 28, 2020

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday November 2nd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

Introducing "Bubble Charts"

October 28, 2020

As Market Technicians, we are in the data visualization business. We're looking to visualize the behavior of market participants by analyzing price and its derivatives via traditional charts, spreadsheets, and other methods.

Today we want to introduce a slightly different way we like to visualize market behavior as we may begin incorporating it into our analysis more often if you find it helpful.

Without further ado, let's check out some "Bubble Charts."

[Podcast] My Interview With Jack Schwager - Author of Market Wizards

October 27, 2020

I've done over 115 Podcast episodes and I don't remember being this excited to interview someone. I've read all the Jack Schwager books and some of them multiple times. I know traders who regularly read these chapters as part of the mental training.

Think about it, Jack has interviewed the greatest traders in history. All of them. It's incredible. And you know what strategies he uses to trade his own personal money? Technical Analysis.

He's interviewed all of the best traders for his Market Wizards books. And he says about half of them choose their market direction using Technical Analysis. But almost all of them have some sort of Technical component for risk management. This concept of Risk Management is the one common denominator between all of the most successful Traders.

Jack also pokes fun at the Efficient Market Hypothesis, which you know always brings a smile to my face. He discusses some of the success of these traders and how their consistent returns over such long periods of time completely dismiss what he refers to as the Deficient Market Hypothesis.

Don't walk to listen to this one. Run!

Mystery Chart (10-27-2020)

October 27, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Premium] More "Oopsies" As Market Chop Continues

October 26, 2020

The major nifty market indexes continue to chop around, creating more failed moves on the upside and downside.

Today we're going to take a look at a few failed breakouts that could serve as very tactical setups on the short side or simply further evidence of the type of choppy environment we're in.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (10-26-2020)

October 26, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

We discussed markets remaining more or less a mixed bag over recent weeks/months. At the same time, we've pointed out how the weight of the evidence continues to tilt gradually in the direction of the bulls, particularly due to the action we've observed in key risk assets.

This week, we finally witnessed a meaningful rotation into reflationary assets as yields rallied to their highest levels since June. We also saw a noticeable strengthening from cyclicals.

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Under The Hood (10-23-2020)

October 25, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to our "Under The Hood" column for the week ended October 23, 2020.

What we do is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we're measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers... there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire arsenal of data makes us confident that we're producing the best list each week and gives us more optionality in terms of finding the most favorable trade setups for our clients.