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Is OJ Getting Ready to Run?

June 11, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Softs are an area of the commodity space that hasn’t received much attention over the past several months, and for good reason.

As the rest of the commodities complex has been on fire, the action from this group has been muted as they’ve underperformed their peers significantly since last year.

Besides Sugar reaching our initial objective last month and Coffee breaking out of a 4-year bottom, Softs have been a real snooze fest.

Cotton continues to chop within a broad range. Cocoa is well below overhead supply. And OJ grinds sideways as it builds a 3-year base.

But it looks like Orange Juice futures are poised to break free to the upside.

Let’s take a closer look at this favorable risk/reward opportunity in OJ and lay out a potential trade setup to get long this base breakout, if and when it comes...

Here’s the weekly chart of Orange Juice futures:

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Young Aristocrats (June 2021)

June 11, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.   

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are “stocks that pay you to make money”. Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

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[Options Premium] Went Camping. Got Eaten By a Bear

June 11, 2021

It's summertime and where I live in Colorado, everyone is planning camping and RV trips up in the mountains. There's something about fresh mountain air, cool crisp evenings, and enjoying a beverage next to a roaring campfire.

You would think that this would be bullish for companies that are in the business of supplying the gear for entrepid campers and roadtrippers.

Well, we only follow price and the chart action in one camping name is potentially telling a different story.

 

 

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

June 11, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

After several failed attempts, the S&P 500 managed to make a new closing high on Thursday. The percentage of stocks making new 21-day highs (lower pane) did not expand as the index moved into record territory, but the percentage of stocks making new 21-day lows (upper pane) did. In fact, we’ve never before seen this many stocks making new short-term lows with the index making new all-time highs. This is not the sort of beneath the surface action you tend to see when a market is gaining strength for a sustained rally. Rather, it speaks to a continuation of what we have seen of late -  a choppy environment where less is more and cash on the sidelines is good for both mental and financial health.

Top/Down Take: Dr.Reddy's (DRREDDY)

June 11, 2021

We're back to share with you, what we love to do and that is the Top/Down approach. At All Star Charts we're big fans of the weight of the evidence. The market tells us where it's going, and we listen. It's pretty simple really.

For some time now, the Pharma sector has been displaying strength. Resistances have been breached, momentum indicators have been strong, and rallies have been swift.

So what do the charts say this time around? Let's take a look!

All Star Charts Crypto

DeFi Sector Battles New Lows

June 11, 2021

Though consolidation periods can be painful, they allow us to evaluate the next leaders and laggards when a directional trend resumes.

We've written a fair amount about potential leaders in the last few weeks, but it may be time to increasingly shift the conversation and focus more on the laggards.

While most areas have bounced this week, the DeFi sector is stubbornly lagging:

Divergence City + Bonds Break Out!

June 10, 2021

Have you seen Homebuilding stocks getting hit?

It's not happening at a random spot either. The upside objectives were hit, as we discussed on last week's call, so this would be a perfectly logical place for this correction to take place.

But the chart of the week has to be Homies relative to REITs. With Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) breaking out on both an absolute AND relative basis, it makes this chart that much more dramatic.

This is the true story:

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: How to Become a More Active Reader

June 10, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

My colleague Sean shared a quote on Twitter recently about reading books and the discipline of not necessarily finishing one just because you started it. 

There is a tension there. Working through a challenging read can be great. Trying to get through a book that isn't worth your time or is inaccessible to you is not a virtue. Discerning when to persist and when to give in is a skill.

I look at this situation through a slightly different lens. A book worth finishing is worth multiple reads. For me, this means going over it enough that I can remember, access, and share the perspective. Too often we treat books as trophies on a shelf. Owning a book doesn’t mean we have ownership of what the book says. If we are not going to take ownership of the content, why own the book?

We don't want to clutter up our charts with meaningless indicators, so why would we clutter up  our shelves with books that are outside our grasp? 

All Star Charts Crypto

[Crypto] Waiting For A Resolution

June 10, 2021

No matter how many charts we analyze, the market ultimately gets the final word, not us.

We're simply here to position ourselves where the risk vs. reward is exponentially in our favor. Unfortunately for trend-followers, there's not a whole lot of opportunities floating around right now.

Until we get a move in either direction from this near-term range, longs are likely getting chopped up, and shorts probably aren't working either.

As we've mentioned repeatedly, 30k is the level to watch on the downside for Bitcoin, while 41,000 and eventually 48,000 is the upper level of this range.

Click on Charts to Zoom in

 

 

Financial Services Sector: Deep Dive

June 10, 2021

The Financial Services sector has been displaying resilience. Within this universe, there are certain stocks that are showing strength and moving past their resistance.

Let's see what the charts have to say!

With the breakout in Nifty 50, several indices have resumed their trend on the upside. Financials is another sector that has been hinting at the same.

In this post, we're also going to take a look at some of the lesser discussed stocks in Financials.

Here are some stocks at crucial levels.

First up, we have Cholamandalam Financial Holdings. The stock has moved past its resistance of 620 and is on the way to the target! After halting at the overhead supply zone for quite some time, the price broke out along with the indicator moving into bullish momentum territory.

We are positive above the level of 620, with a  target near 780.

Click on chart to enlarge view.