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[Options] Monthly Positions Review – August

July 30, 2021

Once again this month, I’m going to share info on positions that were closed in the month of July. As a reminder, our exit plans are always laid out ahead of time in each trade idea we publish. In every case, the exits mentioned below were all in accordance with the plans as laid out.

As we head towards August expiration, we only have one open position remaining with expiring August options. But July was certainly a busy month for exits -- both profitable and not -- as a couple of market whipsaws shook the trees and knocked us out of a bunch of positions.

Positions with August options that need monitoring:

Technical Analysis for IPOs

July 29, 2021

Initial Public Offerings are exactly that, the initial offering of shares to the investing public. That's the beginning of price history.

This is how it used to be in the old days anyway. Today, we regularly see companies going public so their investors can take profits on their early stage bets. There have usually been several rounds of money raising along the way.

The liquidity is to pay investors, and not necessarily just to raise cash to grow the company.

And that bothers some people. But not me. I don't really care.

I'm only here to try to make a few bucks off the whole thing.

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Don't Hold Your Breadth

July 29, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge 

We’ve been super obnoxious about the deterioration in new highs we continue to see in the US.

But the major averages haven't been phased a bit. The S&P 500 and other large-cap indexes keep charging to new heights.

Yet when we look beneath the surface, we're hearing a different story… The vast majority of stocks have NOT been making new highs along with the averages. In fact, we’re beginning to see an expansion in new lows

This is a new development that's commanding our attention right now, mainly because these are the weakest conditions we’ve seen many of our breadth measures since last year. 

FOMO or Accumulation?

July 29, 2021

Inventories on exchanges fell by a whopping 60k Bitcoin yesterday following eight days of consecutive positive closes.

This is the second greatest negative net change in exchange balances of all time, just trailing behind the -70k change in May 2016, which preceded one of Bitcoin's greatest bull markets ever:

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[Premium] Details For August 2021 Monthly Strategy Session

July 29, 2021

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday August 2nd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

The All Star Momentum Scan

July 29, 2021

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to generate great returns.

While we go through our lists of sectors and stocks on a weekly basis, we thought of launching a product that would highlight the names that are the strongest performers in our universe and those that are primed for an explosive move.

Just like The Outperformers scan, this is a list of stocks belonging to the sectors that display relative strength in the market at any given point in time. Since sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market, we will be ahead of the curve before the gears keep shifting.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (Q3 Playbook Update)

July 28, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

We're going to flip the script a bit this week with our RPP Report. We typically don't publish a report during week's where we have a monthly conference call as JC covers our positioning and summarizes our key themes and views there.

But we didn't do one last week either because we had just published our Q3 Playbook which laid out our current position in a painfully detailed manner (it was 250 pages!).

Premium members: read it here if you haven't yet.

In today's post, we're simply going to recap our "Key Themes For The Current Quarter" and update clients on some major developments that have taken place in the past few weeks.

We've got some important things to cover so let's get right to it!

  

The 2021 Stock Market Correction

July 28, 2021

The question I keep seeing goes something like this: "Will all this weak breadth finally cause a correction in the market?"

But the right question to ask isn't whether or not a correction is going to start.

It should be: "How much longer will this correction go on?"

[Options] A Retail Hedge

July 28, 2021

As markets have gotten choppy lately, I've been on the hunt for more bearish and neutral trades to help balance out my predominantly long portfolio.

In this week's Follow the Flow report, Steve Strazza teed up a nice candidate for some downside exposure. The beauty is, the Options Gods are lining it up such that we can affordably take an aggressively bearish position that will pay off nicely if it works, while limiting our risk if we're wrong.

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Bitcoin's Momentum Thrust

July 28, 2021

Bulls have certainly given the bears a run for their money this last week.

Bitcoin's on the verge of eight consecutive positive days...

That's impressive.

Don't just take our word for it, look out how rare events of this magnitude have been, as marked by the green arrows:

Nifty back in a Trading Range

July 28, 2021

The market has moved into a sideways trading range again. Post making new highs Nifty has traded sideways for over a month now.

While the Indian market has displayed a great deal of resilience compared to other markets, we're yet to see positive breadth thrusts and moves.

Let's take a look at what the breadth analysis is pointing at, given the current market setup.