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All Star Charts Crypto

Entering Price Discovery

November 8, 2021

Last week, we outlined that a big move was on the horizon, and the bias for prices over the coming weeks was higher. We were documenting the tightening volatility and the accumulation taking place on-chain, suggesting that upward price discovery was the most probable outcome.

Over the weekend, we've seen this play out in some respects, with Bitcoin breaking out of its tight range, which seems like the beginning of the next leg higher.

Now that Bitcoin is back above 65,000, we want to position aggressively long in anticipation of further strength into the remainder of the year.

 

Up And To The Right

November 8, 2021

Uptrends are a pattern in the market that every investor should be able to recognize.

When prices are making higher highs and higher lows, and the line goes from the lower left to the upper right, we call those uptrends.

Learn it. Know it. Live it.

In Bull Markets, you get a majority of stocks doing just that - going higher.

In Bear Markets, most stocks are NOT doing that.

In February, things really changed. After that, most stocks stopped going up.

But that's now reversed. The bull market is back baby!

Look at that expansion in new highs:

"I don't know" is the right answer

November 8, 2021

Most people are not comfortable saying, "I don't know".

That's the arb

This is where there's opportunity.

And it's funny when you think about how silly that is.

I mean, of course we don't know!

How could anyone possible know what's going to happen in the future? Stocks or otherwise.

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

November 8, 2021

This week we’re looking at a long setup in the Realty space. With Realty showing growing strength, this was one sector we wanted to focus on.

Let's take a look at this stock.

Good Buy or Goodbye?

November 7, 2021

The weekend is a great time to take a step back and think about things.

Thinking is underrated.

I'm also bullish on breathing.

If I could buy a leveraged ETF on breathing I would.

Writing helps me do both of these things.

So today I'm just going to point out a few things that are on my mind, and maybe they'll help you understand how I approach the world.

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The Hall of Famers (11-05-2021)

November 5, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 100 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s take a look at some of them now.

Here’s this week’s list:

And here’s how we arrived at it:

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When to Feed the Ducks

November 5, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

The best opportunities are the ones with the most clearly defined risk characteristics and most favorable risk/rewards.  

This summer, Minneapolis Spring Wheat was offering us a trade set-up with both these qualities. Price had just resolved higher from a near decade-long base and was trading at its highest level in 8 years. We were buying the breakout.

Fast forward to today and our initial profit target has been met and we’re locking in gains.

In today’s post, we’ll take a step back, review our trade, pinpoint current levels of interest, and discuss how we’re managing the position moving forward.

First, let’s look at the weekly chart of Minneapolis Wheat futures:

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

November 5, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We’ve been on the lookout for evidence of breadth improvement and the new high lists this week have given us plenty of it. The 63-day (3-month) new high lists for small-caps and mid-caps have heated up after being dormant for most of the summer and that is starting to stretch into new highs on a 126-day (6-month) and 252-day (1-year) basis as well. On the NASDAQ we have now seen the most 52-week highs since March. I’ll let pundits talk about the impact that a drop in bond yields might be having on this and just note that new highs expanding is one of the most bullish things we can see from the stock market. When they stop expanding and start to contract is when we start to see trouble.

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Looking For Commodity Exposure?

November 5, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

The outperformance from commodities this year has been hard to ignore.

Over the trailing 52 weeks, the CRB index is up over 56% and our equal-weight commodity index is up over 37%. The entire space has been participating -- energy, base metals, grains, and softs. 

And even though precious metals have been trending lower since last summer, we can’t forget that gold kicked off the commodities rally by hitting new all-time highs last year.

If we’re only looking at stocks and bonds we’re cutting ourselves off from what is currently the top-performing asset class. It doesn’t matter whether we trade the markets on a more tactical timeframe or if we have a long-term investing approach. There is alpha in commodities right now and we want to have exposure. 

But how do we take advantage of this space if we don’t have the ability to buy December futures contracts of Crude Oil or the March ‘22 futures contracts of Corn?

That's where our commodity ETF/ETN list comes into play. 

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[Options Premium] Cycling Down in Stereo?

November 5, 2021

I'm already groaning at the Dad Pun I'm trying to pull off here with this post's title.

The team put out a new The Short Report highlighting stocks that are ripe for getting short. Yes, we might be in a bull market, but its a "market of stocks" and if you look hard enough, you can always find stocks going in either direction, regardless of the macro market environment.

And the idea from the report that stands out best to me is now the victim of my bad pun.