Gold as a commodity is close to the heart coming from India. It is generally the first instrument of investment. Most often it's also the first gift for a newborn baby. We also have important days such as Akshaya Tritya and Diwali when retailers consider buying gold auspicious.
The inherent faith in the yellow metal to save us from bad days has been a part of the psyche for a long time. With that in mind, the levels to track in Gold become important from a personal and professional standpoint.
Gold has been battling several levels of resistance for a while now. The last time that Gold was making waves in the market was in August 2020 when the price traded close to 56,200. Since then, the price has been on a sideways journey.
In the week gone by, the price slipped below the support of 50,670.
So what are the levels we're tracking now after this move? Let's take a look!
The most significant insider transactions on today's Hot List are Form 4 filings by the co-founder and an executive vice president of DISH Network Corporation $DISH.
Between the two, they disclosed a $24 million purchase of their own stock.
Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column where we'll cover all the action for the week ended May 13, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
It's been almost a joke at this point to cover Bitcoin from an analytical perspective when it's been nothing but representative of the Nasdaq, US growth stocks, and long-duration assets in recent months.
People often ask what it'll take for correlation to macro to die out.
Here's a take.
Bitcoin has its whole separate supply dynamics taking place on-chain away from macro.
The reality of the situation is that there's a small group of highly sophisticated traders utilizing perps and the traditional calendar futures market in great size bounding price action to the US indices. But under the surface, there's a new group of investors and a cohort of preexisting ones that are laying down support.
Zhu Su of 3AC likens it to a supply "gentrification" to convicted crypto natives, institutional buyers, and HNW individuals, that when complete will see a significant dislocation between equity markets and Bitcoin. The price action of the last week is an extreme example of this transfer.
We start the week as markets look to stabilize from yet more volatility. Supply dynamics show the dust is beginning to settle from the Luna collapse, as traders absorb and process the events of the last week.
Since the writing of our last letter, Bitcoin briefly dipped below 30,000, reaching an intraday low of around 25,000.
The market is in a state of panic, with the highest losses being realized since the Covid crash.
With the LFG capitulating their Bitcoin arsenal and Bitcoin still hanging around 30,000, it's got us asking, "was that it?"
In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
S&P 500 Tests a Key Level
Equities continue to look vulnerable as sellers remain in full control. When it comes to the major averages, we’ve had our eyes on the AVWAP from the COVID lows. In late April, the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 violated these levels and followed it up with a fresh leg to the downside. Markets have continued to sell off since.
Today, all eyes are on the S&P 500 which is now challenging its AVWAP from the COVID lows. This level represents the price the average investor has paid since March 2020, making it a critical level of interest.
What this really means is the average buyer since that time is now in a loss position. While this would be a logical place for bulls to step in and stop the carnage, we’re not seeing any sign of it yet. Until we do, be prepared for heightened volatility and further downside.
Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.
By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.
Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:
* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.
