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[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

October 14, 2022

From the Desk of Willie Delwiche.

Labor Pressure Eases - Is Inflation Next?

The Chart: 

On the labor front, job openings turned lower in August and the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker for September seems to have followed suit. On the inflation front, the year change in the median CPI reached another new high (its 7th in a row) in September.

Why It Matters: 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Hiding Out With the Aristocrats

October 14, 2022

While this certainly is not the market environment to be taking aggressive long bets in, there are some stocks that are displaying tremendous relative strength that we can play with strictly defined-risk positions to protect ourselves.

Our Young Aristocrats Report shows us stocks that aren’t just paying dividends but are doing so while they’re going up and thus paying us via price appreciation as well.

And this week's report serves up a great opportunity.

Chart of the Day: Major Market Trends

October 14, 2022

There are a lot of trends in markets that are worth paying attention to.

Remember, asset prices trend. They're not random.

We have the data.

So one major trend we want to make sure we're not ignoring is in Energy stocks relative to Technology.

Look at the ratio between them making new multi-year highs, yet the S&P500 weighting in energy is still less than 5% of the entire index. But Technology is still almost 25% of the index.

Is that weighting sustainable?

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Bonds Slice and Dice

October 13, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Don’t catch falling knives!

It sounds simple enough. But in reality, traders continue to lose fingers as they reach for downtrending assets.

Diving after downtrends isn’t one of my many afflictions. But I do have a theory…

Traders and investors don’t realize they're catching a falling knife in the moment. They believe they’re bargain-hunting.

So if you’re one of the many investors out there mending fresh wounds this week, I want to make one thing clear…

Bonds are a falling knife.

Check out the chart of the 30-year T-bond:

Do you really want to buy this chart?

Sure, the downtrend is stretched and ripe for some mean reversion. But as long as it’s below 127’23 we’re short with a target of 116. 

It’s the same story with $TLT:

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Young Aristocrats (October 2022)

October 13, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.