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Hitting Resistance

December 5, 2022

It's been impossible to ignore.

Equities and cyclicals have seen some modest gains off the lows, while growth areas and crypto markets have waned. In fact, by our calculations, this year has seen one of the greatest disparities in performance between growth and value.

You can see it when you compare something like Bitcoin or Ethereum against the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Sure, crypto markets have been dragged down by the FTX contagion. Still, perhaps the bigger driver of this price action has been the macro flow out of long-duration growth assets (crypto included) and into traditional value areas.

We're talking industrials, materials, and, of course, energy stocks.

But let's not forget the broad picture.

 

 

 

Quogue Capital Reports Big IOVA Buy

December 5, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filed by Wayne P. Rothbaum, the president of Quogue Capital LLC.

The investment firm revealed a purchase worth $65 million in Iovance Biotherapeutics $IOVA.

Easier To Find New Highs

December 3, 2022

Let me ask you this: In bear markets does it historically get easier and easier to find stocks making new all-time highs?

Where I grew up, new all-time highs, yet alone more and more of them every day, are not something that we normally see in bear markets.

And here we are. I can't remember the last time it was this easy to find stocks breaking out to new highs. And not just new 3-month highs or even 52-week highs.

Stocks are breaking out to new ALL-TIME Highs.

And not just in one or two sectors.

We're seeing it in Financials, Industrials, Technology, Energy, Healthcare, Staples, Telecom and more.

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The Hall of Famers (12-2-2022)

December 2, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

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Give Your Portfolio a Jolt

December 2, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Precious metals shine as the dollar drops.

It makes sense our bullish metal trades are working in this environment. But how are less dollar-sensitive contracts faring?

Let’s check back on two recent trades from October, coffee and orange juice.

First up is the orange juice futures contract:

OJ came within striking distance of our upside objective last month.

It’s now carving out a near-term top while posting a bearish momentum divergence – not the most bullish price action.

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend: Dollar Downturn Gets Globe In Gear

December 2, 2022

From the Desk of Willie Delwiche.

As the dollar was peaking in late-September, 4% of world markets were above their 50-day average and 4% were above their 200-day average. The dollar now is 8% of that peak (and below its 200-day average for the first time since June 2021). More than two-thirds of ACWI markets are now above their 200-day averages (the most in over a year) and nearly 95% are above their 50-day average (the most in nearly 2 years).  

People Are Angry...Good!

December 2, 2022

I'm not sure what everyone is so angry about, but I like it.

The pessimism out there is off the charts.

Investors are scared.

Risk aversion is dominating. Risk appetite is non-existent.