The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

Today officially marks the beginning of the Santa Claus Rally.

As we already discussed earlier this month, the SCR period runs during the final 5 trading days of the year and the first 2 of the following year.

So due to the holiday schedule, the 2022 SCR goes from today December 23rd through Wednesday January 4th.

The average performance during these 7 days is 1.33% and is positive 79.2% of the time. This is a big difference from all the other 7 day periods throughout the year, that only average 0.24% returns. They're also positive less than 60% of the time.

So we've found that there's real alpha during this period.

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Agree Realty Corporation $ADC Director John Rakolta Jr.

Rakolta reported a purchase of ADC shares worth $785,180.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Happy Holidays to all!

The Santa Claus rally begins today, and the market did a decent reversal yesterday from the lows. What a save.

Now, for today, I'd like to see $SPX 3,800 hold for a move to 3,850. The real test will be back above 3,875.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Yesterday was a one-hit wonder for longs. Today was pretty ugly.

The market is showing who's in charge.

The $SPX broke through support levels at 3,850 and 3,800. Next support is at 3,744.

This is the video recording of the December 22nd, 2022, Weekly Town Hall w/ Willie Delwiche.

12/22/22 2:00 PM ET

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

There's no denying it.

The US dollar has been an incredible reflection of financial conditions this year. By extension, the correlations between the dollar and risk assets have held firm.

Equities and crypto were under pressure whenever the US dollar trended higher in 2022.

And when the dollar was correcting, equities and crypto were trending higher.

We don't need to overcomplicate this.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Futures down some after yesterday's nice move to the upside.

It could be a consolidation day, but I would like $SPX 3,850 held today. 

The largest insider transaction on today’s list came in a Form 4 filing from Durable Capital Partners.

The hedge fund reported an additional purchase of $8.7 million in Duolingo $DUOL.

I don't know how many times I've said it this year. Someone go back and count.

But the catalyst IS THE WEAKER DOLLAR.

It's not the fed, or the election, or yield curves, or wars, or Santa Claus or any of the other random arguments that we've all heard along the way.

It's the US Dollar.

Period.