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All Star Options

[Options Premium] It's Coming...

August 14, 2023

No matter how you measure volatility, there is no ignoring the fact that the daily moves (both realized and expected) have shrunk dramatically in the cryptocurrency space, most notably in granddaddy Bitcoin $BTC.

Here's Strazza this morning on twitter:

Implied volatility can remain muted for as long as it wants to. It's not going to expand on my schedule. But at least when we're range bound and options prices are relatively cheap, we can position ourselves further out in time to take advantage of the next big move.

That's exactly what we're going to do.

 

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Precious Metals Brace for a Breakdown

August 14, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

One of my favorite scenes from “Forgetting Sarah Marshall” is when we get to meet the in-house surf instructor, played by Paul Rudd.

Rudd’s character, Chuck, a transplant local, imparts sage advice, “When life gives you lemons, just say f@&k the lemons and bail!”

I always laugh at that one, even as I write this note.

That’s probably because  I’ve spent the better part of the past twenty years chasing waves – but I don’t share this Hollywood version of a stoner-surfer ethos regarding life.

But I do follow this mindset when it comes to markets…

Rising real yields and a pesky US dollar are making lemons of the precious metals space.

Corrections are a Choice

August 14, 2023

The Nasdaq100 is already down 4.5% this month. Technology as a sector is down almost 6.5% for August.

But corrections are a choice, not a requirement.

As an investor, you make the choice and decide which assets you want to own and which you do not.

Remember, "Passive Investing" is a lie. There's no such thing. All investors are active. The difference is whether you choose your portfolio holdings, or you let some random index providers make those decisions for you.

But we're all active investors, whether we like it or not. Don't forget that.

So even thought the indexes are messy this quarter, take a look at Energy hitting new 6-month highs this week:

Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (08-14-2023)

August 14, 2023

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

It should be a little bit of a calm week, although we do get retail sales coming up.

Typically in mid-August we get a bounce.

$SPY still hasn't closed its gap below at 442.97. I was looking for that last week, no dice.

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Young Aristocrats (August 2023)

August 13, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

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Two Fresh Energy Trades: Will Commodities Follow?

August 11, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Energy contracts are breaking out.

Crude oil and gasoline futures are completing major reversal patterns.

Heating oil is ripping higher.

Natty gas has traders on the edge of their seats (what’s new?) as it heads into a seasonally favorable stretch.

But what about the rest of the commodity space?

Check out the overlay chart of our equal-weight energy index and our equal-weight broad commodity index:

Both averages have followed the same path since the 2020 lows despite a mere 15% weighting toward energy in our broad commodity index. 

But energy is pulling away. Oil and gas names are taking on a leadership role among US equities as their underlying commodities confirm by digging in and resolving higher.

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The Hall of Famers (08-11-2023)

August 11, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Energy Has 99 Problems but the Dollar Ain’t One

August 11, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

We have the smartest clients!

We might not always agree on the market direction at All Star Charts, but we all share that sentiment. 

Our readers ask the best questions. And I selfishly benefit every time as it forces me to clarify my thoughts into a coherent response.

As I answered an email last night, I realized I had to share it with everyone: