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Buying Tech in a Tech Led Bull Market

November 9, 2023

Relative strength can be really powerful because stocks often tip their hand before making their big moves.

When the overall market is under pressure and a stock is making new 52-week highs, something is usually going on.

We're seeing it in Uber, which we just bought yesterday.

UBER is making new 52-week highs and is currently valued at over $100 Billion. Meanwhile, people keep telling me stocks are in a bear market.

Those people must be looking at LYFT instead...

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The Dollar Retains Command

November 8, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is still dealing like an old-school ace on the mound.

I don’t care what stock market bulls or technology investors want to believe.

The buck has been lights out since July.

And just because it found itself in a bit of trouble last week doesn’t mean it can’t retire the side…

The index pulled back to a key retracement level at approximately 105 on Friday:

Unsurprisingly, the dollar bore down at this critical area as it coincides with a logical support zone. 

But, when we take a closer look… 

Sellers are digging in, seeing the spin on the ball, with runners in scoring position.

Check out last week’s breakdown:

[Options] The Hard Trade Can Drive Uber Gains

November 8, 2023

The market is speaking. It wants higher prices. The year-end, seasonality-driven rally may be taking hold. Or it may be something else? It doesn't really matter. We only follow price, and right now prices in certain stocks are pointing us to start taking some directional bets.

Today's trade is in an industry-disrupting name that has already had an impressive move over the past week that we feel is only the beginning of a much larger drive.

Check out this chart of everyone's favorite ride-hailing service Uber Technologies $UBER:

Tech Leads In Bull Markets

November 8, 2023

The Nasdaq100 index just went out at the highest levels in history relative to the much broader Russell3000 Index.

Technology represents about 50% of the Nasdaq100, with Apple's weighting coming in at 11% of the index and Microsoft currently at just over 10%.

But the Nasdaq100 is a good representation of these mega-cap names, because Amazon, Google, Meta and Tesla all carry huge weightings. Remember, none of these stocks are in the Tech Index.

So the Nasdaq100 broadens it out to what most people consider "Tech".

Here's the QQQ hitting new all-time highs relative to Russell3000:

Make It Hurt

November 8, 2023

Do the hard thing.

Make it hurt.

Then do it again.

If these were the first three lines people read in a book about profitable trading, odds are many wouldn’t make it past the first page.

It’s natural for humans to want to avoid pain, to choose the easy path, and to put in the least amount of work for the maximum amount of output. Business schools call this “efficiency.”

And you can find plenty of examples in the real world where this is good, solid advice.

Trading is not one of those places.

The hard truth is that 80-90% of people who attempt trading in any capacity, frequency, or timeframe eventually end up net losers.

So why would we want to choose to do what the average trader is doing? The average trader is a loser. The stats don’t lie. Don’t make this fact worse by denying it.

Multiple CEOs Report Significant Insider Purchases

November 7, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by the president and CEO and a director of Sarepta Therapeutics $SRPT.

Together, the two executives bought SRPT shares for a total of $5,9 million.