When an asset class is in a bull market, it not only goes up in value, but it also outperforms other asset classes. So it's not just about the absolute performance, but about the relative performance as well. When stocks are going up, they'll outperform things Bonds or Gold, for example. In emerging stock markets, it's no different. When stocks in India are outperforming US Stocks, that is when I consider the bull market to be in full stride.
Today I want to point to an important development in the NIFTY50 relative the S&P500. This is how we can see if stocks in India are in a real uptrend, or just a market rising with the tide.
All-time highs across the board in Small-caps these days. Some are in shock. I personally just don't understand why stocks that are in uptrends going up is anything outside of perfectly normal? I would argue that any other result is what we should consider unusual. If the market teaches us one thing is that trends are much more likely to continue than to completely reverse.
In September I put out a post about small-caps breaking out of year long bases. If you recall, at the time, the sentiment around the market was about how high stocks were and how they could not go much further. My argument at that point was the exact opposite. Small-cap stocks had done nothing for an entire year. To suggest the stock market was too stretched was irresponsible, in my opinion. Not only did we want to be long stocks, we wanted to be "very aggressively long" equities.
This week has been an incredible experience in India! If you had the chance to make it to my presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday I really do appreciate you coming. I may be the one presenting my thoughts on local markets, but trust me, I'm the one winning at the end. The conversations and interactions with traders here has been extremely eye opening and educational. This is how I learn - by talking with people smarter than I am. It's not hard to find that around here. So from the bottom of my heart, thank you!
Many of you have asked for the slide deck from the presentation so here you go:
This week has been an incredible experience in India! If you had the chance to make it to my presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday I really do appreciate you coming. I may be the one presenting my thoughts on local markets, but trust me, I'm the one winning at the end. The conversations and interactions with traders here has been extremely eye opening and educational. This is how I learn - by talking with people smarter than I am. It's not hard to find that around here. So from the bottom of my heart, thank you!
Many of you have asked for the slide deck from the presentation so here you go:
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
We've been extremely bullish towards US and Global Stocks as they remain in strong uptrends on any sort of intermediate-term time horizon. I still think this is an environment where we need to be buying weakness in stocks, not selling strength. The weight of the evidence is still pointing to an increased amount of risk appetite, not risk aversion. We will go over a multi-timeframe approach on this conference call where we will start with the longer-term and then work our way down to more short-term to intermediate-term investing ideas. This will also include other assets like the US Dollar, Euro, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Interest Rates.
I'll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got...
Joe Fahmy is a trader whose work I've respected for nearly a decade when I was first introduced to him and his investing style. What makes Joe special in my opinion is his awareness of when to press his long positions and be aggressive, while at the same time incorporating a more neutral or defensive approach whenever the market dictates. This discipline is not always easy, but he does it well. Joe and I have known each other for a long time and the conversations we've had over...
It's a new year and we're already starting to see brand new trends emerging. One area that I've preferred to stay away from for a long time has been the energy and natural resource space, which just so happen to be 2 of my favorite areas to be long heading into 2018. Today I want to point out the major reversal in Natural Gas stocks that I believe will catch many by surprise as we progress into the first quarter and likely beyond.
Natural Gas stocks? When was the last time you heard me talk about those?? There is a time and a place for everything. We've discussed the relative strength in Energy stocks as a group lately and have pointed out some interesting opportunities, particularly in the Oil Refinery space, Valero especially. That has worked very well in our favor the past few months.
But moving forward I think there are some extremely favorable risk vs reward scenarios within the Natural Gas stocks as well as all of them as a group.
We're finally here! Allstarcharts India is now available to everyone and anyone interested in the share market of India. This has been one of the most incredible experiences of my life - learning about Indian markets, the people and the culture. I am currently here in Delhi and will also be traveling to Mumbai to both celebrate the new launch and to continue my pursuit of knowledge and experience. I will be giving a live presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday January 11th and you can register for that here if it's not already filled up.
The New Allstarcharts India can be found at Allstarcharts.in and is now the go-to research platform for anything Indian Securities. I am very lucky that I was able to build a massive global community simply by starting a blog 7 years ago and sharing my ideas on social platforms like Twitter, Stocktwits and LinkedIn. I went from wondering if anyone was listening or whether they even cared, to HODLing as subscribers from all over the world piled in to read my...
We're finally here! Allstarcharts India is now available to everyone and anyone interested in the share market of India. This has been one of the most incredible experiences of my life - learning about Indian markets, the people and the culture. I am currently here in Delhi and will also be traveling to Mumbai to both celebrate the new launch and to continue my pursuit of knowledge and experience. I will be giving a live presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday January 11th and you can register for that here if it's not already filled up.
The New Allstarcharts India can be found at Allstarcharts.in and is now the go-to research platform for anything Indian Securities. I am very lucky that I was able to build a massive global community simply by starting a blog 7 years ago and sharing my ideas on social platforms like Twitter, Stocktwits and LinkedIn. I went from wondering if anyone was listening or whether they even cared, to HODLing as subscribers from all over the world piled in to read my...
I finally made it to India! I've been working on coming out here for a long time, but you know, life gets in the way. I've made an effort in the past year to travel, particularly to Asia to learn more about the culture, the people and the financial markets. Since last February I've traveled to Hong Kong, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Tokyo, Taipei and Philippines. It's easy for me to give a presentation and talk about what I'm seeing in the market. I've done that pretty much every day for as long as I can remember. Where I win is in the conversations I have prior to my events, and more importantly afterwards over cocktails and delicious food.
To be honest, what inspired me to travel and learn from other markets was India. Long story, but India was the first place I wanted to go to and learn and talk about markets. But as it turned out, it took me longer to get here than I would have wanted. But hey, I'm here now and that's what matters.
So why am in India? Well, the easy answer is why wouldn't I be in India? Have you looked at these markets? They might have more sectors than the United States, but the similarities in Sector Rotation, momentum, relative strength and...