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This Is Going To End Badly

February 20, 2021

When you really dive in and see what's going on, it becomes quite obvious that this will end in disaster for many investors.

Do you know why?

Because that's what always happens.

So what?

Why is that our problem?

What does that have to do with investing and helping my family?

If you take maybe just 30 seconds to study history, you’ll find that most uptrends were not bubbles. They were just uptrends.

There were things that happened this month and even last year that have never happened in the market before. There were even some events that only occurred a few times in history.

So what?

Every month and every year we see the market do things that it's never done before, or maybe has done very rarely.

...

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

February 19, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Constructing a narrative can be risky behavior if you end up trusting the story more than the incoming evidence. When you can remain objective, however, it allows you to position for an expected outcome and then test whether that outcome is being realized. Form a hypothesis and test it. Know your parameters beforehand, don’t seek to justify the action after the fact. If the facts change, change your mind. We’ve been discussing the prospects of a global coordinated rebound in growth. The evidence at hand suggests we are indeed seeing that. I see the chart below as the who, what, where, and how of this story. FCX is mining for Copper in EEM using CAT. If any of these start to falter, it will suggest the story is changing. Currently, that is not the case.

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Is Alt Season Upon Us?

February 19, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

Are we finally entering the long-awaited alt-season?

We're seeing incredibly healthy rotation within the Cryptocurrency space, which we can only interpret as support for higher prices for this group of digital assets moving forward.

We've been bullish on Bitcoin $BTC and crypto since last summer when BTC was near 10,000.

Here's a post in October where JC outlined that the path of least resistance was higher in BTC, and another in December where we outlined a target, which was hit in a matter of days. Our current target for the Crypto leader is 70,000.

The price action is clear: Crypto continues to benefit from a well-established uptrend.

Our main focus today is the broadening participation of many Altcoins (lingo for any Cryptocurrency not named Bitcoin).

Several Altcoins are now breaking...

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[Options Premium] Don't Sleep On This Idea

February 19, 2021

When the world gets back to normal, you have to believe people will be itching to get back on the road and start traveling again. There are a number of industries that will benefit from this, of course.

And one stock from a beaten down sector in 2020 is making new all time highs right now! This is the kind of trade I want to get into.

Happy Anniversary of "The Top" In The Market

February 19, 2021

This week marks the one-year anniversary of the top in 2020 for the S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq100 Indexes.

Everything immediately fell apart after that and we experienced one of the greatest crashes in history.

This leads some people to think that with these indexes now making new all-time highs once again, a crash can happen at any time....

But what most people conveniently like to forget is that everything else had already been rolling over by this point last year. The only indexes left still making new highs were those 3 U.S. Large-caps.

Today, let's run it back to last year and see what was actually going on, so you can see just how different things are today. All of these charts are from posts and client presentations I gave last February.

First, take a look at Small-caps, Mid-caps and Small-caps all making lower highs by this point last year:

Debuting The Outperformers

February 19, 2021

Big day everyone! We are debuting a new feature for Premium Members of All Star Charts India! There are a lot of exciting things lined up, but it's time to reveal a little something now.

Introducing the new kid on the block- The Outperformers!

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The market as a whole does not move together. Regardless of the market direction, there are always certain stocks and sectors that act as leaders and laggards. As the name suggests, the Leaders are the first to respond to a particular trend, whereas the Laggards join in later.

There is a big advantage in identifying these leaders in any given market environment. These are the names that generate greater returns compared to market indices as well as other stocks.

For example, in a market environment where mid-caps are outperforming the large-caps, it would make sense to be invested in mid-caps rather than large-caps.

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

February 18, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza 

Our Top 10 report was just published; our weekly report highlighting the best 10 ideas and respective charts we are seeing across the markets this week. One idea and chart that really has our attention is Emerging Markets overlaid with The CRB Index.

Emerging Markets hit new all-time highs last week. This is supportive of the bullish action we’re seeing from stocks in other regions of the globe as well as economically-sensitive commodities. It is no coincidence that the Emerging Markets ETF $EEM and the CRB index tend to peak and trough in unison throughout history. They relay a similar message of “risk-on.” The big question now is whether it’s time for Commodities to play catch-up with Emerging Markets.

PSU Banks Gatecrashed The Rally

February 18, 2021

You'd have to be a part of the market for quite some time to be able to claim that you witnessed a bull run in the PSU Banks sector. This sector is notorious for perpetual underperformance regardless of the market sentiment.

Well, maybe that's changing. Over the past two weeks, these hibernating stocks decided to wake up and join the party. Looks like they finally received the invite for the ongoing rally!

A move above 1,900 in the PSU Banks Index is crucial and here's why. This level has played the role of strong support for close to seven years. With the breach of this level in early 2020, the principle of polarity would mean that 1,900 would turn into stubborn resistance. The fact that PSU Banks has broken out of this resistance rather quickly, hints at the strength that's building in this index.

We are bullish above 1,900, for targets near 2,645 & 3,445.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Relatively speaking, the PSU Banks Index has broken out of its resistance zone and is ready for the next leg of...

Top/Down Take: Indian Bank (INDIANB)

February 18, 2021

Here we go with another round of our Top-Down Take post. At All Star Charts we like to keep things simple and look at the bigger picture. We let the charts speak to us and then decide what to do. Always remember, the Trend is our Friend.

Today we’re taking a look at the sector that seems to be rallying with a vengeance! The PSU Banks are out and about, finally enjoying their moment in the sun.