It’s easy to lose sight of how impressive energy has been this year.
We get it. Sideways action is boring.
But while the rest of the market has been selling off, energy has shown incredible resilience, digesting gains in a continuation pattern since early summer.
After an explosive rally for energy stocks off the 2020 lows, it’s normal to experience an extended period of corrective action. In fact, it’s healthy.
Now get this...
Many of these stocks haven’t even broken out yet!
We know it sounds crazy, especially when some of these industry groups have more than tripled during the trailing 24 months.
But the charts don’t lie. They’re telling us some of these trends might just be getting started. Let’s take a look.
We can break down oil and gas companies into three main categories: upstream, midstream, and downstream.
These designations refer to where a particular company operates along the supply chain, from extracting the raw material to selling the refined...
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Airbnb, Uber, and Paypal.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Here’s this week’s list:
Click table to enlarge view
We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.
The long-term Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is currently in a drawdown of more than 40%. This exceeds the 35% drawdown that high yield bonds (HYG) experienced in 2008 during the financial crisis.
Why It Matters:
High yield bond yields are rising but spreads are not widening. That’s because sovereign yields are rising just as fast. That is a big difference between 2022 and 2008. It’s not just peripheral countries. We are seeing stress in the UK and we are seeing stress in Japan. We are also seeing it in the US, where yields are rising at their fastest pace in 40 years, yield curves are inverting and some Treasuries are trading at 50 cents on the dollar. It’s a risk off environment, but one in which risk off assets are leading the way lower.
We saw a bearish reversal yesterday afternoon in the indices.
For today, I'm watching to see if the SPX can hold 3,638, then 3600. We'd need to get back above 3,689, then 3,700, to head back uphill. The $SPY has support at 363, then 360.