Our process is defined by the power of simplicity.
We don't need a complicated macro thesis to position ourselves appropriately in crypto markets. We find our edge in stepping back and identifying inflection points where we want to define our risk.
Risk should be front and center, considering recent events.
One of the takeaways from this entire FTX/Alameda mess is the necessity of risk management. Sam Bankman-Fried lost an empire in the space of a week.
If this isn't a great reminder to manage risk and position size accordingly, I don't know what it is...
A hilarious video made the rounds on Twitter showing Caroline Ellison, the 28-year-old CEO of Alameda Research, arguing against the use of stop losses.
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She also said that technical analysis is voodoo in the same interview...
The Outperformers is our custom-made scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for significant moves.
The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.
The bulls are dropping the US dollar like it's hot – and risk assets worldwide love it!
Few areas are enjoying the newfound dollar weakness quite like the metals space. It’s not just precious or base metals catching higher. It’s both.
So if you shelved those shiny rocks months ago, it’s time to pull them out and take a look.
Copper futures are up first:
Dr. Copper went out with a bang last week, posting its largest single-day return since 2009. We call these types of strong directional moves momentum thrusts.
They often indicate either the exhaustion of an ongoing trend or the initiation of a new trend. Our money is on the latter when it comes to copper.
Yesterday it took out its summer pivot highs. Those former highs are a great level to define our risk.
Priced in their own currencies, more than half of the countries in the world are trading above their 200-day averages. The US is not among them.
Why It Matters: The US has been in an uptrend versus the rest of the world for 235 weeks in a row, the longest continuous stretch of US leadership in the past 50 years. More broadly, the past decade has taught US investors that global diversification means lower returns and higher risk. But that trend is long in the tooth. If the dollar continues to fade, the opportunity for new leadership will become more apparent. Emerging Market central banks led the way into the tightening cycle and they could lead the way out of it. Remove currency factors and improving global rally participation can more readily be seen. And right now the US is not in the driver’s seat.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.