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Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (01-03-2023)

January 3, 2023

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Happy New Year, and welcome to 2023!

What I try to do at the start of the year is to not allow my bias cloud my judgment. I try to stay focused on price and let the market guide me. I'm not overly bullish. But I will let the market tell the story, and I will follow along.

The market is the leader, and I'm just the follower.

So, as they say, let the journey begin.

Does this trend look over to you?

January 3, 2023

For over a decade, stocks in the United States outperformed Commodities by a long shot.

In fact, Commodities underperformed for so long, that many investors even forgot that they were an asset class.

"Stocks and Bonds JC!", they would tell me.

And I would say, "No kids, it's Stocks, Bonds AND Commodities".

Gold Rush: Outpace The Alternatives

January 2, 2023

Did you get through our entire Gold Report?

What did you think?

Shoot me a note and let us know!

Today I want to talk about relative outperformance.

You see, in bull markets, assets not only do well on an absolute basis, but they also tend to outperform their alternatives.

I don't know if you noticed, but Gold just went out for the year at its highest levels ever relative to U.S. Treasury Bonds.

Gold is also making new 6-month highs relative to U.S. Stocks:

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2022 Trade Ideas

December 31, 2022

Here is a list of trade ideas organized by date, ticker symbol and directional bias. Please make sure you have clicked on the link and read the details surrounding the trade before acting upon any of them. Also, make sure you have checked with your financial advisor and tax accountants to make sure you are suitable to be executing what is discussed on this website. The risk management procedures and targets are detailed for each idea. Please read and review the terms and conditions page before making any trades of your own.

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The Hall of Famers (12-30-2022)

December 30, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month. 

Then...

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When Bonds Speak, Listen

December 30, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Bonds have endured quite the year.

Perhaps 2022 marks the worst on record, or at least the past 100 years. Nevertheless, we’ve all witnessed extraordinary selling pressure in what has historically acted as a safe-haven asset. 

Despite the dismal returns and destruction of the traditional 60/40 portfolio, the bond market continues to instill valuable lessons in those willing to listen and learn.

Check out these three poignant reminders courtesy of the bond market…

Trends Persist

It’s an oldie but a goodie. And interest rates have refused to let us forget that trends persist.

The chart below highlights the five-, 10-, and 30-year US Treasury yields finding support at their respective year-to-date trendlines and pivot highs from the spring.

I thought rates might follow the...